比特币的未来安全吗?用三角法对现实中的比特币市场进行了情绪分析。

Digital finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-06-15 DOI:10.1007/s42521-022-00052-y
A V Biju, Aparna Merin Mathew, P P Nithi Krishna, M P Akhil
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引用次数: 6

摘要

比特币(BTC)的价格持续波动到极端。比特币市场在2021年第二季度见证了一场纯粹由投资者情绪主导的崩盘。比特币价格只受市场情绪影响,还是有其他因素影响?在本文中,我们采用了三角测量方法;采用混合方法研究,其中定性研究与定量方法相辅相成。对2016-2021年期间的定性和定量数据进行了检验,以确定比特币市场价格是否受到市场情绪的影响。为了分析市场情绪,使用了2016年至2021年互联网论坛“Bitcointalk”的帖子和情绪。为了强化定性分析的结果,我们使用了BTC市场的定量数据。我们还使用了谷歌趋势的搜索数据来提供进一步的见解。我们的研究表明,比特币市场价格的定量趋势与情绪的定性矩阵之间存在交叉匹配。我们还观察到一种人为的投资意图,以数字推动的形式在比特币市场上发挥作用,以促进投资。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Is the future of bitcoin safe? A triangulation approach in the reality of BTC market through a sentiments analysis.

Bitcoin (BTC) prices are fluctuating continuously to the extremes. The Bitcoin market witnessed a crash during the second quarter of 2021 that was purely guided by the investors' sentiments. Are the Bitcoin prices influenced only by market sentiments or do any factors influence them? In this paper, we applied a triangulation approach; mixed-methods research was used in which a qualitative study was complemented by a quantitative method. Both the qualitative and quantitative data of time periods 2016-2021 were examined to find whether the Bitcoin market prices are influenced by market sentiments. For analysing market sentiments, the posts and sentiments from 2016 to 2021 of an internet forum "Bitcointalk" were used. For strengthening the findings of qualitative analysis, we used quantitative data of the BTC market. We also used search data from Google Trends for providing further insights. Our research shows a crossmatch between quantitative trends on Bitcoin market prices and qualitative matrix of sentiments. We have also observed an artificial investment intention in the form of digital nudges playing the field of the Bitcoin market to boost investment.

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