灾害后果预测系统:加强应急管理的参与式行动研究方法。

IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management Pub Date : 2021-09-16 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI:10.1515/jhsem-2021-0013
Austin Becker, Noah Hallisey, Ellis Kalaidjian, Peter Stempel, Pamela Rubinoff
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引用次数: 1

摘要

应急管理人员需要细致入微的数据,以便了解重大风暴事件(例如飓风和飓风)造成的地方规模风险和影响。新兴市场可用的传统工具,如天气预报或风暴潮预测,不能提供有关当地具体关切问题的可操作数据,例如紧急车辆能否进入和潜在的通信中断。然而,新的风暴模型现在有足够的分辨率,可以在地方范围内进行明智的应急管理。本文提出了一种参与式行动研究(PAR)方法,以捕捉关键基础设施管理者对美国罗德岛州普罗维登斯市飓风和东北风的担忧。利用这些数据收集方法,可以将关注的问题整合到数值风暴模型中,并用于应急管理,在风暴发展期间实时标记潜在后果。本文介绍了为应急管理人员开展的试点项目的方法和结果,并强调了对实践和未来学术研究的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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The Hazard Consequence Prediction System: A Participatory Action Research Approach to Enhance Emergency Management.

Emergency managers (EMs) need nuanced data that contextualize the local-scale risks and impacts posed by major storm events (e.g. hurricanes and nor'easters). Traditional tools available to EMs, such as weather forecasts or storm surge predictions, do not provide actionable data regarding specific local concerns, such as access by emergency vehicles and potential communication disruptions. However, new storm models now have sufficient resolution to make informed emergency management at the local scale. This paper presents a Participatory Action Research (PAR) approach to capture critical infrastructure managers concerns about hurricanes and nor'easters in Providence, Rhode Island (USA). Using these data collection approach, concerns can be integrated into numerical storm models and used in emergency management to flag potential consequences in real time during the advance of a storm. This paper presents the methodology and results from a pilot project conducted for emergency managers and highlights implications for practice and future academic research.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
12.50%
发文量
11
期刊介绍: The Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management publishes original, innovative, and timely articles describing research or practice in the fields of homeland security and emergency management. JHSEM publishes not only peer-reviewed articles, but also news and communiqués from researchers and practitioners, and book/media reviews. Content comes from a broad array of authors representing many professions, including emergency management, engineering, political science and policy, decision science, and health and medicine, as well as from emergency management and homeland security practitioners.
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