Prevalence, one-year-incidence and predictors of carcinoid heart disease.

Background: Carcinoid heart disease (CHD) caused by neuroendocrine tumours (NET) is associated with an increased morbidity and mortality due to valvular dysfunction and right sided heart failure. The present study aimed to assess the prevalence and one-year-incidence of CHD in NET patients. Tumour characteristics, laboratory measurements, and echocardiographic findings were evaluated to identify predictors of CHD manifestation.

Methods: The study was an investigator-initiated, monocentric, prospective trial. Patients with NET without previously diagnosed CHD were included and underwent comprehensive gastroenterological and oncological diagnostics. Echocardiographic examinations were performed at baseline and after one year.

Results: Forty-seven NET patients were enrolled into the study, 64% of them showed clinical features of a carcinoid syndrome (CS). Three patients presented with CHD at baseline and three patients developed cardiac involvement during the follow-up period corresponding to a prevalence of 6% at baseline and an incidence of 6.8% within one year. Hydroxyindoleacetic acid (5-HIAA) was identified to predict the occurrence of CHD (OR, 1.004; 95% CI, 1.001-1.006 for increase of 5-HIAA), while chromogranin A (CgA), and Kiel antigen 67 (Ki 67%) had no predictive value. Six patients with CHD at twelve-month follow-up revealed a tendency for larger right heart diameters and increased values of myocardial performance index (MPEI) at baseline compared to NET patients.

Conclusion: The prevalence at baseline and one-year-incidence of CHD was 6-7%. 5-HIAA was identified as the only marker which predict the development of CHD.