工程结构灵活的灾后恢复工程调度

Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Journal of Engineering Project and Production Management Pub Date : 2020-10-20 DOI:10.2478/jeppm-2021-0012
B. O. Odedairo, Odion Ehidebama Olenloa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要世界各地的洪水事件导致了人类生命的损失、经济、基础设施和生态系统的破坏。尽管存在管理洪水事件的不同框架;然而,与其中一些方法相关的复杂性(即调整和适应)往往受到时间和资源限制的限制。因此,本研究试图采用灵活的项目结构来安排洪水后恢复项目(PFRP)。PFRP中的二十五(25)项恢复性活动被确定、分类和安排为具有灵活结构的资源受限项目调度问题(RCPSP-FS)。蒙特卡洛模拟用于反映每种恢复活动的不确定性特征。在时间和资源限制的假设下,PFRP完成时间分别为42天和86天。确定了三十四(34)条网络路径(子项目),并将其分为4项恢复措施,如下:(i)清除危险材料(ii)疏散受伤人员(iii)提供洪水技术预警系统和技术设施,以及(iv)建造避难所、房屋和桥梁。网络路径的时间和成本灵活性值分别为6至63天和14.79至288.77万美元。时间和进度敏感性分析揭示了每项恢复活动对模拟项目完成时间的影响。基于这些结果,得出的结论是,灵活的项目结构可以在洪水后恢复工作中应对不断变化的环境,从而在活动调度、洪水事件措施和成本替代方案方面有更大的自由度。
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Scheduling of Post-Flood Recovery Project with Flexible Project Structure
Abstract Flood events around the world result in the loss of human lives, disruption, damage to economic, infrastructural and ecological systems. Although, different frameworks to manage flood events exist; however, the complexity (i.e. adjustment and adaptation) associated with some of these approaches is often limited by constraints of time and resources. Therefore, this study attempts to apply a flexible project structure to schedule a post-flood recovery project (PFRP). Twenty-five (25) restorative activities in a PFRP were identified, categorised and scheduled as resource-constrained project scheduling problem with a flexible structure (RCPSP-FS). Monte Carlo simulation was used to reflect the uncertain characteristics of each restorative activity. PFRP completion time was 42 and 86 days under time and resource constraints assumptions, respectively. Thirty- four (34) network paths (sub-projects) were identified and grouped into 4 restorative measures as follows: (i) removal of hazardous materials (ii) evacuation of injured persons (iii) provision of flood technology warning system and technical facilities and (iv) construction of shelter, homes and bridges. Time and cost flexibility values for the network paths range from 6 to 63 days, and 14.79 to 288.77 thousand USD, respectively. Time and schedule sensitivity analysis revealed the impact of each restorative activity on simulated project completion time. Based on these results, it is concluded that a flexible project structure can respond to changing circumstances during post-flood restoration efforts which allow more degree of freedom in activity scheduling, flood events measures and cost alternatives.
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来源期刊
Journal of Engineering Project and Production Management
Journal of Engineering Project and Production Management Business, Management and Accounting-Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
30 weeks
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