Fracture Prevention Following Offshore Well Blowouts: Selecting the Appropriate Capping Stack Shut-In Strategy

Following uncontrolled discharge during loss of well control events, fracture initiation occurring during the post-blowout capping stage can lead to reservoir fluids broaching to the seafloor. A classic example is Union Oil's 1969 oil spill in Santa Barbara Channel, where fracture initiation at various locations caused thousands of gallons per hour to broach onto the ocean floor over a month before it could be controlled (Mullineaux 1970; Easton 1972). Disasters such as these could be prevented if the effects of the post-blowout loss of well control stages (uncontrolled discharge and capping) are incorporated into the shut-in procedures, and the wellbore architectures are modified accordingly. In this study, analytical models are used to simulate the loads on the wellbore during the different stages of loss of control. Capping pressure buildup during the shut-in is modeled to indicate fracture initiation points during the capping stage. Using these models, the critical capping pressure for a well is determined, and subsequent critical discharge flow rates are calculated. Fracture initiation would occur if the actual discharge flow rate is below the calculated critical discharge flow rate. A hypothetical case study using typical deepwater Gulf of Mexico (GOM) parameters is performed demonstrating the likelihood of fracture initiation during different discharge flow rates, discharge periods, and capping stack shut-in methods (single-step/“abrupt” or multistep/“incremental”). An abrupt shut-in for this case study leads to fracture initiation at approximately 8 hours after shut-in, while a five-step incremental shut-in is shown to prevent any fracture initiation during the 48 hours after the beginning of the shut-in. Reservoir depletion through longer discharge periods or higher discharge flow rates, despite the adverse environmental effect, can delay or even prevent fracture initiations during post-blowout capping. The ability to model these fracture failures enhances the understanding of wellbore integrity problems induced during loss of control situations and helps create workflows for predicting possible broaching scenarios during the post-blowout capping stage. Dimensionless plots are used to present fracture initiation for different cases—this is useful for drilling and wellbore integrity engineers for making contingency plans for dealing with loss of well control situations.