使用比例强度模型(PIM)评估油泵纠正性维护的有效性

Sidali Bacha, A. Bellaouar, J. Dron
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引用次数: 0

摘要

复杂可修复系统(CRSs)通常由称为“点过程”的随机过程建模。这些通常归纳为非均匀泊松过程(NHPP)和更新过程(RP),它们分别代表最小和最大修复。然而,工业环境以某种方式影响系统。这就是为什么这项工作的主要目标是通过结合协变量形式的指标,用反映系统真实状态的概念对CRS进行建模。这种类型的模型被称为比例强度模型(PIM),将与模拟失效数据进行分析,以了解失效过程的行为,然后将对石油公司的实际数据进行测试,以评估所采取纠正措施的有效性。设计/方法/方法为了解决局部维修建模问题,在NHPP模型的基础上引入了一个乘法比例因子,该比例因子反映了每次维修行动后的效率程度。将考虑该乘法因子的几个值来生成数据。然后,根据从SONATRACH公司(阿尔及利亚Hassi Messaoud南部工业中心(CIS))获得的12年泵运行的可靠性和维护历史,对PIM的性能进行判断,并与NHPP和RP模型进行比较,以证明其建模CRS的灵活性。使用最大似然法,依托Matlab软件,最佳拟合模型应该具有最大的似然值。发现PIM的使用允许在实践中应用简单的建模,从而可以更好地理解系统的物理情况。这是通过价值来表达的,在这种情况下,它代表了由执行的良好质量的纠正性维护所提供的系统行为的改进。这一结果是基于一个假设,即使用PIM建模可以更清楚地说明系统的行为。它可以表明维修人员的有效性,并指导管理人员确认或修改维修政策。原创性/价值该作品旨在反映系统运行的真实情况。这项工作的独创性在于允许考虑在其生命周期内影响系统行为的协变量。作者着重于对油泵进行每次纠正性维护后的修复程度进行建模。由于PIM不需要特定的可靠性分布来应用它,因此它允许在各种工业环境中广泛应用。鉴于本研究的重要性,PIM可以推广到更多的协变量和工作条件。
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Assessment of the effectiveness of corrective maintenance of an oil pump using the proportional intensity model (PIM)
PurposeComplex repairable systems (CRSs) are generally modeled by stochastic processes called “point processes.” These are generally summed up in the nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) and the renewal process (RP), which represent the minimum and maximum repair, respectively. However, the industrial environment affects systems in some way. This is why the main objective of this work is to model the CRS with a concept reflecting the real state of the system by incorporating an indicator in the form of covariate. This type of model, known as the proportional intensity model (PIM), will be analyzed with simulated failure data to understand the behavior of the failure process, and then it will be tested for real data from a petroleum company to evaluate the effectiveness of corrective actions carried out.Design/methodology/approachTo solve the partial repair modeling problem, the PIM was used by introducing, on the basis of the NHPP model, a multiplicative scaling factor, which reflects the degree of efficiency after each maintenance action. Several values of this multiplicative factor will be considered to generate data. Then, based on the reliability and maintenance history of 12-year pump's operation obtained from the SONATRACH Company (south industrial center (CIS), Hassi Messaoud, Algeria), the performance of the PIM will be judged and compared with the model of NHPP and RP in order to demonstrate its flexibility in modeling CRS. Using the maximum likelihood approach and relying on the Matlab software, the best fitting model should have the largest likelihood value.FindingsThe use of the PIM allows a better understanding of the physical situation of the system by allowing easy modeling to apply in practice. This is expressed by the value which, in this case, represents an improvement in the behavior of the system provided by a good quality of the corrective maintenance performed. This result is based on the hypothesis that modeling with the PIM can provide more clarification on the behavior of the system. It can indicate the effectiveness of the maintenance crew and guide managers to confirm or revise their maintenance policy.Originality/valueThe work intends to reflect the real situation in which the system operates. The originality of the work is to allow the consideration of covariates influencing the behavior of the system during its lifetime. The authors focused on modeling the degree of repair after each corrective maintenance performed on an oil pump. Since PIM does not require a specific reliability distribution to apply it, it allows a wide range of applications in the various industrial environments. Given the importance of this study, the PIM can be generalized for more covariates and working conditions.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
12.00%
发文量
53
期刊介绍: In today''s competitive business and industrial environment, it is essential to have an academic journal offering the most current theoretical knowledge on quality and reliability to ensure that top management is fully conversant with new thinking, techniques and developments in the field. The International Journal of Quality & Reliability Management (IJQRM) deals with all aspects of business improvements and with all aspects of manufacturing and services, from the training of (senior) managers, to innovations in organising and processing to raise standards of product and service quality. It is this unique blend of theoretical knowledge and managerial relevance that makes IJQRM a valuable resource for managers striving for higher standards.Coverage includes: -Reliability, availability & maintenance -Gauging, calibration & measurement -Life cycle costing & sustainability -Reliability Management of Systems -Service Quality -Green Marketing -Product liability -Product testing techniques & systems -Quality function deployment -Reliability & quality education & training -Productivity improvement -Performance improvement -(Regulatory) standards for quality & Quality Awards -Statistical process control -System modelling -Teamwork -Quality data & datamining
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