分析师在准备建议时真的过于乐观吗?

Michał Radke
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的主要目的是估计在准备股票市场建议的分析师中乐观的水平和分布。第二个目标是分析乐观主义与社会人口变量(如年龄、教育和专业经验)之间的关系。作者采用接受生活倾向测验(LOT-R)来测试乐观主义。同时,本文试图将作者运用心理测试进行的乐观主义研究结果与以往将乐观主义视为预测与现实之间的差异的研究结果进行比较。调查结果显示,波兰个人投资者的平均乐观度为14.38分,根据LOT-R检验,平均乐观度为14 - 18分。研究没有发现乐观程度受到诸如年龄、经历或教育等社会人口特征的影响。
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ARE ANALYSTS REALLY OVERLY OPTIMISTIC WHEN PREPARING RECOMMENDATIONS?
The main aim of this research was to estimate the level and distribution of optimism among analysts preparing stock market recommendations. A secondary goal was to analyze the relationship between optimism and socio-demographic variables such as age, education, and professional experience. The author used the Received Life Orientation Test (LOT-R) to test optimism. At the same time, the paper attempted to compare the results of optimism research using the psychological tests carried out by the author with previous research that perceived optimism as the difference between forecast and reality. According to the survey, individual investors in Poland are characterized by an average level of optimism of 14.38 points according to the LOT-R test, where the average level of optimism ranges from 14 to 18 points. The research did not find that the level of optimism was influenced by such socio-demographic characteristics as age, experience, or education.
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审稿时长
25 weeks
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