行人专用是尼日利亚南部卡拉巴尔市可持续市内通勤的有效工具

IF 0.1 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Romanian Journal of Transport Infrastructure Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI:10.2478/rjti-2018-0001
I. Okon
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要促进步行已成为可持续城市交通规划中的一项全球性战略。这是为了减少由于机动城市交通的主导地位而导致的城市通勤问题,特别是在城市化率不断提高的发展中国家。这项研究是在尼日利亚南部的卡拉巴尔进行的,目的是评估加强行人专用区的条件。对全市22个有政治区划的地区(区)的户主进行了调查问卷调查。受访者采用分层抽样技术进行抽样,每10栋住宅在房屋首次上市后进行抽样。使用机动交通、天气条件、行人缺乏安全性和社会经济变量等因素作为类别预测因素,进行了Logistic回归分析,以预测卡拉巴尔约382名户主(约98%的受访者)可以进行实用步行的条件。完整模型与恒定单一模型的检验具有统计学意义,表明预测因子作为一组,可靠地区分了实用步行和非步行(卡方=60.544,p<.001,df=17)。Nagelkerke的R2.322表明预测和分组之间存在中等强度的关系。总体预测成功率为70.5%(非步行53.5%,步行81.5%)。Wald准则表明,只有行人冲突、行人缺乏安全性和行人年龄对模型1中的预测做出了重大贡献(p=.000)。此外,约99.2%的行人表示步行距离不超过5公里,而另一方面,他们可以负担0.8公里到公交站、3公里到学校、5公里购物的费用,约20公里用于休闲旅行。该研究建议了促进行人专用区的咨询策略,其中包括开发人行道和配套设施,以提高行人的安全和舒适度。
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Pedestrianism as an Effective Tool for Sustainable Intra-City Commuting in Calabar, Southern Nigeria
Abstract The promotion of walking has become a global strategy in sustainable urban transportation planning. This is with the aim of reducing the urban commuter’s problems that result from the dominance of motorized urban transit, especially in developing countries with an increasing rate of urbanization. This study is carried out in Calabar, Southern Nigeria with the aim of assessing the conditions under which pedestrianism is enhanced. Research questionnaires were administered to household heads in all 22 localities with political delineation (wards) in the city. Respondents were sampled using the stratified sampling technique where every 10th residential house is sampled after the initial listing of houses. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to predict the conditions under which about 382 household heads (about 98% respondent rate) in Calabar could undertake utilitarian walking using factors such as motorized traffic, weather conditions, lack of safety of pedestrians and socio-economic variables as category predictors. A test of the full model against a constant single model was statistically significant, indicating that the predictors, as a set, reliably distinguished utilitarian walking and non-walking (chi square = 60.544, p < .001 with df = 17). Nagelkerke’s R2 of .232 indicated a moderately strong relationship between prediction and grouping. Prediction success overall was 70.5% (53.5% for non-walking, and 81.5% for walking). The Wald criterion demonstrated that only pedestrian conflict, lack of safety of pedestrian and the age of the pedestrian made a significant contribution to the prediction in model 1 (p = .000). Furthermore, about 99.2% of pedestrians indicated walking distances of not more than 5km while on the other hand, they can afford 0.8km to bus station, 3km to school, 5km for shopping, and about 20km for recreation trips. The study recommended counseling strategies for promoting pedestrianism among which is the development of pedestrian walkways and complementary facilities to enhance pedestrian safety and comfort.
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