用排序节点法推进贝叶斯网络条件概率表的构建

IF 2.4 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, THEORY & METHODS International Journal of General Systems Pub Date : 2022-11-17 DOI:10.1080/03081079.2022.2086541
Pekka Laitila, K. Virtanen
{"title":"用排序节点法推进贝叶斯网络条件概率表的构建","authors":"Pekka Laitila, K. Virtanen","doi":"10.1080/03081079.2022.2086541","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"System models based on Bayesian networks (BNs) are widely applied in different areas. This paper facilitates the use of such models by advancing the ranked nodes method (RNM) for constructing conditional probability tables (CPTs) of BNs by expert elicitation. In RNM, the CPT of a child node is generated using a function known as the weight expression and weights of parent nodes that are elicited from the expert. However, there is a lack of exact guidelines for eliciting these parameters which complicates the use of RNM. To mitigate this issue, this paper introduces a novel framework for supporting the RNM parameter elicitation. First, the expert assesses the two most probable states of the child node in scenarios that correspond to extreme states of the parent nodes. Then, a feasible weight expression and a feasible weight set are computationally determined. Finally, the expert selects weight values from this set.","PeriodicalId":50322,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of General Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4000,"publicationDate":"2022-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Advancing construction of conditional probability tables of Bayesian networks with ranked nodes method\",\"authors\":\"Pekka Laitila, K. Virtanen\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/03081079.2022.2086541\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"System models based on Bayesian networks (BNs) are widely applied in different areas. This paper facilitates the use of such models by advancing the ranked nodes method (RNM) for constructing conditional probability tables (CPTs) of BNs by expert elicitation. In RNM, the CPT of a child node is generated using a function known as the weight expression and weights of parent nodes that are elicited from the expert. However, there is a lack of exact guidelines for eliciting these parameters which complicates the use of RNM. To mitigate this issue, this paper introduces a novel framework for supporting the RNM parameter elicitation. First, the expert assesses the two most probable states of the child node in scenarios that correspond to extreme states of the parent nodes. Then, a feasible weight expression and a feasible weight set are computationally determined. Finally, the expert selects weight values from this set.\",\"PeriodicalId\":50322,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of General Systems\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-11-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of General Systems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/03081079.2022.2086541\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, THEORY & METHODS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of General Systems","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03081079.2022.2086541","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, THEORY & METHODS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3

摘要

基于贝叶斯网络的系统模型在不同领域有着广泛的应用。本文通过提出通过专家启发构建贝叶斯网络条件概率表的排序节点法(RNM),为此类模型的使用提供了便利。在RNM中,子节点的CPT是使用称为权重表达式的函数和从专家那里得出的父节点的权重来生成的。然而,缺乏获取这些参数的确切指南,这使RNM的使用变得复杂。为了缓解这个问题,本文介绍了一种支持RNM参数启发的新框架。首先,专家评估在与父节点的极端状态相对应的场景中子节点的两种最可能的状态。然后,通过计算确定了可行权表达式和可行权集。最后,专家从这个集合中选择权重值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Advancing construction of conditional probability tables of Bayesian networks with ranked nodes method
System models based on Bayesian networks (BNs) are widely applied in different areas. This paper facilitates the use of such models by advancing the ranked nodes method (RNM) for constructing conditional probability tables (CPTs) of BNs by expert elicitation. In RNM, the CPT of a child node is generated using a function known as the weight expression and weights of parent nodes that are elicited from the expert. However, there is a lack of exact guidelines for eliciting these parameters which complicates the use of RNM. To mitigate this issue, this paper introduces a novel framework for supporting the RNM parameter elicitation. First, the expert assesses the two most probable states of the child node in scenarios that correspond to extreme states of the parent nodes. Then, a feasible weight expression and a feasible weight set are computationally determined. Finally, the expert selects weight values from this set.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
International Journal of General Systems
International Journal of General Systems 工程技术-计算机:理论方法
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
20.00%
发文量
38
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: International Journal of General Systems is a periodical devoted primarily to the publication of original research contributions to system science, basic as well as applied. However, relevant survey articles, invited book reviews, bibliographies, and letters to the editor are also published. The principal aim of the journal is to promote original systems ideas (concepts, principles, methods, theoretical or experimental results, etc.) that are broadly applicable to various kinds of systems. The term “general system” in the name of the journal is intended to indicate this aim–the orientation to systems ideas that have a general applicability. Typical subject areas covered by the journal include: uncertainty and randomness; fuzziness and imprecision; information; complexity; inductive and deductive reasoning about systems; learning; systems analysis and design; and theoretical as well as experimental knowledge regarding various categories of systems. Submitted research must be well presented and must clearly state the contribution and novelty. Manuscripts dealing with particular kinds of systems which lack general applicability across a broad range of systems should be sent to journals specializing in the respective topics.
期刊最新文献
Stress–strength reliability estimation of s-out-of-k multicomponent systems based on copula function for dependent strength elements under progressively censored sample Reliability of a consecutive k-out-of-n: G system with protection blocks Two-way concept-cognitive learning method: a perspective from progressive learning of fuzzy skills Disturbance-observer-based adaptive neural event-triggered fault-tolerant control for uncertain nonlinear systems against sensor faults Idempotent uninorms on bounded lattices with at most a single point incomparable with the neutral element: Part II
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1