用于填补亚马逊地区降雨数据空白的卫星产品评估

IF 1.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Natural Resource Modeling Pub Date : 2021-02-19 DOI:10.1111/nrm.12298
Adria Lorena Moraes Cordeiro, C. Blanco
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引用次数: 15

摘要

具有足够质量和长度的降雨数据系列往往不完整或根本不存在。因此,填补降雨间隙成为完成数据库的必要条件。本文提出利用卫星产品(trmm -热带降雨测量任务、chirps -气候灾害组红外站降水和cmorphp - cpc变形技术)来填补降雨历史序列的空白。使用卫星降雨估计的简单回归方法进行了测试,以填补亚马逊地区164个雨量测量站的缺失数据。降雨资料之间存在较大的离散性,R2范围为0.383 ~ 0.844,降雨较少的地区效果最好。在干燥期,产品的r和d值分别大于0.899和0.950,具有最佳的性能。代表性最好的产品是CHIRPS,月平均绝对误差(0.979 mm)和均方根误差(3.656 mm)最小。结果证实,卫星估计值令人满意地反映了该地区降雨的季节变化,尽管存在数据高估和低估的情况。CHIRPS的高性能可以解释为更高的空间分辨率(0.05°),允许更准确的天气预报。事实上,CHIRPS具有CHPclim模型,这为良好的产品性能增加了其他因素。这些特征证明了CHIRPS产品在填补亚马逊地区日降雨量数据空白方面具有更好的性能,有利于分析每个地区状态的最佳月度降雨量估计。
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Assessment of satellite products for filling rainfall data gaps in the Amazon region
Rainfall data series with adequate quality and length are often incomplete or nonexistent. Thus, filling in rainfall gaps becomes necessary to complete databases. This article proposes the use of satellite products (TRMM—Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission, CHIRPS—Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Stations and CMORPH—CPC Morphing Technique) to fill gaps in the rainfall historical series. The simple regression method, using satellite rainfall estimates, was tested to fill the missing data from 164 rainfall gauge stations in the Amazon region. Large dispersions were observed between rainfall data, with R2 ranging from 0.383 to 0.844, the best results were found in areas with less rainfall. As well, the greatest performance of the products was verified in the dry period, with r and d higher than 0.899 and 0.950, respectively. The product with the best representation in the region was CHIRPS, which had the lowest monthly values of mean absolute error (0.979 mm) and root mean square error (3.656 mm). The results confirm that the satellite estimates satisfactorily represent the seasonal variation of rainfall in the region, despite presenting cases of overestimation and underestimation of data. The higher performance of CHIRPS can be explained by the higher spatial resolution (0.05°), allowing for more accurate weather forecasts. In fact, CHIRPS has the CHPclim model, which adds other factors to the good product performance. These characteristics justify the better performance of the CHIRPS product for filling gaps in daily rainfall data in the Amazon region, favoring the best monthly rainfall estimates for each region state analyzed.
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来源期刊
Natural Resource Modeling
Natural Resource Modeling 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
6.20%
发文量
28
审稿时长
>36 weeks
期刊介绍: Natural Resource Modeling is an international journal devoted to mathematical modeling of natural resource systems. It reflects the conceptual and methodological core that is common to model building throughout disciplines including such fields as forestry, fisheries, economics and ecology. This core draws upon the analytical and methodological apparatus of mathematics, statistics, and scientific computing.
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