货币变化与资本结构决策——来自欧元区诞生的证据

IF 1.8 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE International Journal of Managerial Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI:10.1108/ijmf-04-2022-0153
M. Botta
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文调查了导致欧元区诞生的过程是否对自首次引入共同货币以来欧洲公司资本结构决策的同质化产生了重大影响。设计/方法/方法构建了大量公司样本,并使用tobit - censorship回归模型来调查公司观察到的资本结构的决定因素。Black-Scholes-Merton模型通过观察到的权益的市场价值和相应的波动率来推断资产的市场价值以及这些价值的波动率。在估计企业特定边际税率时,考虑了各国现行税收规则的差异。研究发现,尽管在货币联盟和制度协调过程中,某些因素仍然发挥着不同的作用。特别是,盈利能力的影响与某些国家的啄食顺序观点一致,与其他国家的权衡理论一致。资产风险,以市场企业价值的年化波动率来衡量,是观察到的杠杆率的最佳预测指标。即使在考虑资产风险的情况下,该活动部门在确定杠杆决策方面也很重要。尽管欧元区的货币联盟和金融和制度一体化程度有所提高,但原产国在资本结构决策中仍然发挥着重要作用,这表明其他国家层面的因素可能会影响公司的融资行为。本文指出,尽管加入欧元区需要漫长的制度、法规和公共预算的协调过程,但一旦引入共同货币,企业的融资决策仍然受到各国具体因素的影响。因此,新进入欧元区的国家不应期望其公司立即与位于共同货币区内的其他国家的公司保持一致。原创性/价值本文考察了从本国货币到欧元的货币变动对资本结构选择决定因素的影响。研究表明,尽管经历了漫长的统一过程,导致了欧元区的诞生,但国家因素仍然影响着企业的融资决策。这为计划加入欧元区的国家的政策制定者提供了关于这将对进入国企业融资决策产生影响的指导。
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Currency change and capital structure decisions: evidence from the birth of the Euro area
PurposeThe paper investigates if the process that led to the birth of the Euro Area had a significant impact in homogenizing the capital structure decisions of European firms since the first introduction of the common currency.Design/methodology/approachA large sample of firms was constructed, and a Tobit-censored regression model was utilized to investigate the determinants of firms' observed capital structures. The Black–Scholes–Merton model was used to infer market values of assets, as well as the volatility of those values, from the observed market values of equity and the corresponding volatility. The existing differences in national tax rules were considered for estimating firm-specific marginal tax rates.FindingsIt was found that, despite the currency union and the institutional harmonization process, certain factors still play a different role. In particular, the impact of profitability is consistent with the pecking order view in some countries, and with the trade-off theory in others. Assets risk, measured as the annualized volatility of the market enterprise value, is the best predictor of observed leverage ratios. The sector of activity is significant in determining leverage decisions even when assets' risk is taken into account. Despite the monetary union and the increased financial and institutional integration in the Euro Area, the country of origin still plays a significant role in capital structure decisions, suggesting that other country-level factors may affect firms' financing behaviour.Practical implicationsThe paper indicates that, despite the long harmonization process of institutions, regulations and public budget required to join the Euro, firms' financing decisions are still affected by country-specific factors once the common currency is introduced. Therefore, new entrant countries in the Euro area should not expect their companies to immediately conform with those located in other countries within the common currency area.Originality/valueThis article investigated the impact of the currency change from national currencies to the Euro on the determinants of capital structure choices. It was shown that, despite the long harmonization process that led to the birth of the Euro Area, national factors still affect firms' financing decisions. This provides guidance for policymakers in countries that are planning to join the Euro about the impact this will have on firms' financing decisions in the entrant country.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
47
期刊介绍: Treasury and Financial Risk Management ■Redefining, measuring and identifying new methods to manage risk for financing decisions ■The role, costs and benefits of insurance and hedging financing decisions ■The role of rating agencies in managerial decisions Investment and Financing Decision Making ■The uses and applications of forecasting to examine financing decisions measurement and comparisons of various financing options ■The public versus private financing decision ■The decision of where to be publicly traded - including comparisons of market structures and exchanges ■Short term versus long term portfolio management - choice of securities (debt vs equity, convertible vs non-convertible)
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