运用Logistic增长模型分析和预测未来孟加拉国人口

M. Ullah, G. Mostafa, N. Jahan, Md. Abdul Hakim Khan
{"title":"运用Logistic增长模型分析和预测未来孟加拉国人口","authors":"M. Ullah, G. Mostafa, N. Jahan, Md. Abdul Hakim Khan","doi":"10.4236/IJMNTA.2019.83004","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Bangladesh is a densely populated country than many other countries of the world. The population growth is termed as alarming, however, knowledge of growth in the years to come would be useful in planning for the development of the country. This article is based on the projection of future population growth of the country. The available actual population census data during 1991-2011 of Bangladesh was applied to the application of a non-linear, non-autonomous ordinary differential equation familiar as Verhulst logistic population model with the maximum environmental capability of Bangladesh. Bangladesh will reach its carrying capacity of 245.09 million population in the next 56 years i.e. the year 2067 and then it decreases as S-shaped curve. The article has provided a focus on the changing trends of the growth of the population of Bangladesh.","PeriodicalId":69680,"journal":{"name":"现代非线性理论与应用(英文)","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Analyzing and Projection of Future Bangladesh Population Using Logistic Growth Model\",\"authors\":\"M. Ullah, G. Mostafa, N. Jahan, Md. Abdul Hakim Khan\",\"doi\":\"10.4236/IJMNTA.2019.83004\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Bangladesh is a densely populated country than many other countries of the world. The population growth is termed as alarming, however, knowledge of growth in the years to come would be useful in planning for the development of the country. This article is based on the projection of future population growth of the country. The available actual population census data during 1991-2011 of Bangladesh was applied to the application of a non-linear, non-autonomous ordinary differential equation familiar as Verhulst logistic population model with the maximum environmental capability of Bangladesh. Bangladesh will reach its carrying capacity of 245.09 million population in the next 56 years i.e. the year 2067 and then it decreases as S-shaped curve. The article has provided a focus on the changing trends of the growth of the population of Bangladesh.\",\"PeriodicalId\":69680,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"现代非线性理论与应用(英文)\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-07-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"现代非线性理论与应用(英文)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1093\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.4236/IJMNTA.2019.83004\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"现代非线性理论与应用(英文)","FirstCategoryId":"1093","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.4236/IJMNTA.2019.83004","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4

摘要

孟加拉国是一个比世界上许多其他国家人口稠密的国家。人口增长被称为令人震惊,然而,了解未来几年的增长将有助于规划国家的发展。这篇文章是根据对该国未来人口增长的预测写成的。将孟加拉国1991-2011年的实际人口普查数据应用于孟加拉国最大环境容量的非线性非自治常微分方程Verhulst logistic人口模型。孟加拉国将在未来56年即2067年达到24509万人口的承载能力,然后呈s型曲线下降。这篇文章着重介绍了孟加拉国人口增长的变化趋势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Analyzing and Projection of Future Bangladesh Population Using Logistic Growth Model
Bangladesh is a densely populated country than many other countries of the world. The population growth is termed as alarming, however, knowledge of growth in the years to come would be useful in planning for the development of the country. This article is based on the projection of future population growth of the country. The available actual population census data during 1991-2011 of Bangladesh was applied to the application of a non-linear, non-autonomous ordinary differential equation familiar as Verhulst logistic population model with the maximum environmental capability of Bangladesh. Bangladesh will reach its carrying capacity of 245.09 million population in the next 56 years i.e. the year 2067 and then it decreases as S-shaped curve. The article has provided a focus on the changing trends of the growth of the population of Bangladesh.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
111
期刊最新文献
Bifurcation Analysis of a Neutrophil Periodic Oscillation Model with State Feedback Control Periodical Bifurcation Analysis of a Type of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Model with Feedback Control The Classification to Stationary Process of Tidal Motion Observed at the Time of Kuroshio’s Meandering Turing Instability of Gray-Scott Reaction-Diffusion Model with Time Delay Effects Galerkin Method for Numerical Solution of Volterra Integro-Differential Equations with Certain Orthogonal Basis Function
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1