阳光是最好的反间谍技术吗？秘密行动在削弱俄罗斯对2020年美国大选干预方面的有效性

IF 0.8 3区社会学 Q1 HISTORY Intelligence and National Security Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI:10.1080/02684527.2023.2181923

Dov H. Levin

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引用次数: 1

摘要

在2020年美国大选前夕，美国情报机构试图阻止俄罗斯的秘密行动影响选举结果。他们使用了各种方法，包括揭露发现的俄罗斯秘密活动。然而，这次反间谍行动的实际效果仍然是一个悬而未决的问题。本研究采用一种新颖的方法来考察暴露策略对目标公众的影响。我发现强有力的证据表明，美国情报机构揭露俄罗斯黑手的努力成功地削弱了有针对性的秘密活动的效果。这表明，曝光反情报策略是消除秘密外国选举干预/党派选举干预的有力工具。

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Is sunlight the best counterintelligence technique? the effectiveness of covert operation exposure in blunting the Russian intervention in the 2020 U.S. election

ABSTRACT In runup to 2020 U.S. elections U.S. intelligence agencies tried to prevent Russian covert operations from affecting the results. Various methods were used including the exposure of detected covert Russian activities. The question of the actual effects of this counterintelligence operation however remains open. This study examines the effects of the exposure strategy on target public using a novel method. I find strong evidence that U.S. intelligence agencies efforts to expose the Russian hand succeeded in blunting the effects of the targeted covert activities. This indicates that the exposure counterintelligence strategy is a potent tool for defanging covert foreign election interference/partisan electoral interventions.

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来源期刊

Intelligence and National Security Multiple-

CiteScore

1.80

自引率

41.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Intelligence has never played a more prominent role in international politics than it does now in the early years of the twenty-first century. National intelligence services are larger than ever, and they are more transparent in their activities in the policy making of democratic nations. Intelligence and National Security is widely regarded as the world''s leading scholarly journal focused on the role of intelligence and secretive agencies in international relations. It examines this aspect of national security from a variety of perspectives and academic disciplines, with insightful articles research and written by leading experts based around the globe. Among the topics covered in the journal are: • the historical development of intelligence agencies • representations of intelligence in popular culture • public understandings and expectations related to intelligence • intelligence and ethics • intelligence collection and analysis • covert action and counterintelligence • privacy and intelligence accountability • the outsourcing of intelligence operations • the role of politics in intelligence activities • international intelligence cooperation and burden-sharing • the relationships among intelligence agencies, military organizations, and civilian policy departments. Authors for Intelligence and National Security come from a range of disciplines, including international affairs, history, sociology, political science, law, anthropology, philosophy, medicine, statistics, psychology, bio-sciences, and mathematics. These perspectives are regularly augmented by research submitted from current and former intelligence practitioners in several different nations. Each issue features a rich menu of articles about the uses (and occasional misuses) of intelligence, supplemented from time to time with special forums on current intelligence issues and interviews with leading intelligence officials.