对反休谟机遇的漠视

IF 1.7 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY CANADIAN JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI:10.1017/can.2022.36
dmitri gallow
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要一个漠不关心的原则说,你的信任应该均匀地分布在你认识到的每一种可能性上。机会尊重原则说,你的信任应该与机会保持一致。我的论点是,如果我们是关于偶然性的反休谟主义者,那么这两个原则是不相容的。反胡主义者认为,实际频率偏离机会是可能的。只要你认识到这样的可能性,你就不能既均匀地分散你的信任,又顺从机会。我讨论了一些较弱的冷漠形式,这将使反休谟的人推迟机会。
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Indifference to Anti-Humean Chances
Abstract An indifference principle says that your credences should be distributed uniformly over each of the possibilities you recognise. A chance deference principle says that your credences should be aligned with the chances. My thesis is that if we are anti-Humeans about chance, then these two principles are incompatible. Anti-Humeans think that it is possible for the actual frequencies to depart from the chances. As long as you recognise possibilities like this, you cannot both spread your credences evenly and defer to the chances. I discuss some weaker forms of indifference which will allow anti-Humeans to defer to the chances.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
11.10%
发文量
16
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