缅甸/缅甸环岛路线图评估

Q2 Arts and Humanities Journal of Burma Studies Pub Date : 2019-01-18 DOI:10.1353/JBS.2018.0013
Khen Suan Khai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要:自2011年以来,缅甸和平进程势头强劲,包括民族武装组织、政党和民间社会团体在内的政府和非国家行为者都在努力推动这一进程。本文对全国民主联盟(NLD)的七步路线图和前军政府国家和平与发展委员会(SPDC)的七步骤路线图进行了比较研究。而军政府巧妙地达成了七步路线图中的六步,并严格遵守2008年宪法。它保证了缅甸国防军在政治和国防上的固定地位。相比之下,文官政府和少数民族正在努力签署一项联盟协议——《21世纪盘龙会议协议》。该条认为,根据联邦协议修改宪法,以及随后批准修改后的宪法,可能会导致政府、缅甸国防军和各民族面临紧张和压力。如果利益相关者能够获得修改宪法的工会协议,那么将有更大的机会按照民盟七步路线图的计划建立一个民主的联邦联盟。
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Appraisal of Burma/Myanmar’s Roundabout Roadmaps
Abstract:The peace process Burma/Myanmar has got a momentum since 2011, and both government and non-State actors including Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs), political parties, and civil society groups put endeavor to make the process move on. This article is a comparative study of the seven-step Roadmap of National League for Democracy (NLD) and the seven-step Roadmap of previous military junta State Peace and Development Council (SPDC). While the military junta tactfully reached six out of its seven-step Roadmap and strictly holds on to the 2008 Constitution. It guaranteed the Tatmadaw (Army) a fixed position both in politics and defense. In contrast, the civilian government and ethnic groups are struggling to sign a union agreement— the 21st century Panglong Conference Agreement. This article argues that amending the constitution in accordance with the union agreement and the subsequent approval of the amended constitution may cause tension and pressure to be dealt with by the government, the Tatmadaw and ethnic groups. If the stakeholders are capable to get the union agreement to amend the constitution, there will be a wider chance to build a democratic federal union as planned in the NLD’s seven-step road map.
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来源期刊
Journal of Burma Studies
Journal of Burma Studies Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
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