弱势群体:非洲人口动态在气候变化恢复和适应中的作用

D. Samways
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引用次数: 0

摘要

从直观上看,将图1中所示的人口和二氧化碳排放量的同时增长视为一种简单的因果关系很有吸引力。然而,人口和气候变化之间的联系是复杂的。自1950年以来,人类对全球环境的影响大幅增加,被称为“大加速”(Steffen et al., 2015),这与全球人口和经济的快速增长有关。然而,前者在全球南方最大,后者则集中在全球北方。目前人口增长率高的地区是温室气体排放量最低的地区之一。根据政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的数据,虽然全球最富有的10%的人口,其中三分之二生活在发达国家,贡献了全球温室气体排放量的36 - 45%,但新兴国家较贫穷居民的排放量要低5到50倍(IPCC, 2022)。
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Vulnerable Populations: The Role of Population Dynamics in Climate Change Resilience and Adaptation in Africa
It is intuitively appealing to read the simultaneous growth in population and CO2 emissions shown in Figure 1 as a simple causative relationship. However, the connections between population and climate change are complex. The massive increase in the human impact on the global environment since 1950, dubbed ‘The Great Acceleration’ (Steffen et al., 2015), is correlated with rapid global population and economic growth. However, while the former was greatest in the Global South, the latter was concentrated in the Global North. Areas with presently high rates of population growth are amongst the lowest emitters of greenhouse gases (GHGs). According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), while the richest ten per cent of the global population, two thirds of whom live in developed countries, contribute between 36–45 per cent of global GHG emissions, the emissions of poorer residents of emerging countries are between five and fifty times lower (IPCC, 2022).
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