1936年北达科他州选举中的两次威廉·莱姆克竞选

Adam Chamberlain
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摘要

摘要:1936年美国北达科他州的选举出现了一个罕见的情况,现任共和党众议员候选人威廉·莱姆克在竞选连任的同时,也以联邦党候选人的身份竞选美国总统。他之前的总统竞选工作指出,他在北达科他州的个人吸引力很重要,但我认为这是短视的;选民对这两场竞选的态度可能不仅仅取决于个人吸引力。利用县级莱姆克投票的经验模型,我评估了他的个人吸引力所起的作用,以及人均联邦农业援助,人均合作粮食和电梯公司,以及考夫林神父广播节目的信号强度。我发现莱姆克的个人魅力很重要,但这些其他因素也发挥了重要作用。众议院候选人莱姆克在考夫林神父的广播节目信号更强的地方表现得更好,那里的居民人均获得了更多的联邦农业援助;总统候选人莱姆克在考夫林神父的广播节目信号较强的县表现较差,在人均合作社数量较多的县表现较好。总的来说,这些发现提供了对这次特殊选举的见解,同时阐明了在这个时代可能影响整个大平原投票的因素。
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North Dakota's Two William Lemke Campaigns in the 1936 Elections
ABSTRACT:The 1936 elections in North Dakota presented voters with a rare situation, as incumbent Republican House candidate William Lemke ran for reelection while also running for president of the United States as the Union Party candidate. Previous work on his presidential campaign noted his personal appeal mattered in North Dakota, but I argue that this is short-sighted; more than personal appeal likely shaped how voters approached these two campaigns. Using empirical models of county-level Lemke voting, I evaluate the role played by his personal appeal, along with federal farm aid per capita, cooperative grain and elevator companies per capita, and the signal strength of Father Coughlin's radio program. I find that Lemke's personal appeal mattered, but these other factors played significant roles, too. Lemke the House candidate performed better where Father Coughlin's radio program had a stronger signal and where residents received more federal farm aid per capita; Lemke the presidential candidate did worse in counties where Father Coughlin's radio program had a stronger signal and better in counties with greater numbers of cooperatives per capita. Overall, these findings provide insights into this particular election while illuminating factors that potentially shaped voting across the Great Plains during this era.
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来源期刊
Great Plains Research
Great Plains Research Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
期刊介绍: Great Plains Research publishes original research and scholarly reviews of important advances in the natural and social sciences with relevance to and special emphases on environmental, economic and social issues in the Great Plains. It includes reviews of books and reports on symposia and conferences that included sessions on topics pertaining to the Great Plains. Papers must be comprehensible to a multidisciplinary community of scholars and lay readers who share interest in the region. Stimulating review and synthesis articles will be published if they inform, educate, and highlight both current status and further research directions.
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