比特币对黄金、波动率指数(VIX)和美元指数(USDX)的影响:基于VAR、SVAR和小波相干性的分析

IF 2.3 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Studies in Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-19 DOI:10.1108/sef-04-2023-0187
Florin Aliu, Alban Asllani, Simona Hašková
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的自2008年以来,比特币因其不断增长的资本和投机机会而继续吸引投资者。本文的目的是分析比特币(BTC)对黄金、波动率指数(VIX)和美元指数(USDX)的影响。设计/方法/方法使用的系列为每周一次,涵盖2016年1月至2022年11月。为了产生结果,进行了无限制向量自回归(VAR)、结构向量自回归和小波相干性。调查结果喜忧参半,因为并非所有测试都显示了BTC在三种资产类别中的确切影响。然而,所有测试的共同点是BTC对黄金的显著影响,反之亦然。BTC的积极冲击显著提高了金价,这在三个不同的测试中得到了证实。波动率指数和美元兑美元汇率的影响仍在确定中,在一些测试中,它似乎有影响,而在另一些测试中则没有。独创性/价值BTC在股票和USDX方面的多元化潜力使其成为投资组合经理的宝贵保障。此外,监管机构应考虑到BTC不是一个孤立的现象,可以对黄金等其他资产类别产生重大影响。
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The impact of bitcoin on gold, the volatility index (VIX), and dollar index (USDX): analysis based on VAR, SVAR, and wavelet coherence
Purpose Since 2008, bitcoin has continued to attract investors due to its growing capitalization and opportunity for speculation. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of bitcoin (BTC) on gold, the volatility index (VIX) and the dollar index (USDX). Design/methodology/approach The series used are weekly and cover the period from January 2016 to November 2022. To generate the results, the unrestricted vector autoregression (VAR), structural vector autoregression (SVAR) and wavelet coherence were performed. Findings The findings are mixed as not all tests show the exact effects of BTC in the three asset classes. However, common to all the tests is the significant influence that BTC maintains on gold and vice versa. The positive shock in BTC significantly increases the gold prices, confirmed in three different tests. The effects on the VIX and USDX are still being determined, where in some tests, it appears to be influential while in others not. Originality/value BTC’s diversification potential with equity stocks and USDX makes it a valuable security for portfolio managers. Furthermore, regulatory authorities should consider that BTC is not an isolated phenomenon and can significantly influence other asset classes such as gold.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
10.50%
发文量
43
期刊介绍: Topics addressed in the journal include: ■corporate finance, ■financial markets, ■money and banking, ■international finance and economics, ■investments, ■risk management, ■theory of the firm, ■competition policy, ■corporate governance.
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