{"title":"在马尔可夫链的最长运行中","authors":"Zhenxia Liu, Xiangfeng Yang","doi":"10.19195/0208-4147.38.2.8","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In the first n steps of a two-state success and failure Markov chain, the longest success run Ln has been attracting considerable attention due to its various applications. In this paper, we study Ln in terms of its two closely connected properties: moment generating function and large deviations. This study generalizes several existing results in the literature, and also finds an application in statistical inference. Our method on the moment generating function is based on a global estimate of the cumulative distribution function of Ln proposed in this paper, and the proofs of the large deviations include the Gärtner–Ellis theorem and the moment generating function.","PeriodicalId":48996,"journal":{"name":"Probability and Mathematical Statistics-Poland","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4000,"publicationDate":"2018-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"On the longest runs in Markov chains\",\"authors\":\"Zhenxia Liu, Xiangfeng Yang\",\"doi\":\"10.19195/0208-4147.38.2.8\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In the first n steps of a two-state success and failure Markov chain, the longest success run Ln has been attracting considerable attention due to its various applications. In this paper, we study Ln in terms of its two closely connected properties: moment generating function and large deviations. This study generalizes several existing results in the literature, and also finds an application in statistical inference. Our method on the moment generating function is based on a global estimate of the cumulative distribution function of Ln proposed in this paper, and the proofs of the large deviations include the Gärtner–Ellis theorem and the moment generating function.\",\"PeriodicalId\":48996,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Probability and Mathematical Statistics-Poland\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-12-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Probability and Mathematical Statistics-Poland\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.19195/0208-4147.38.2.8\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Probability and Mathematical Statistics-Poland","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.19195/0208-4147.38.2.8","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
In the first n steps of a two-state success and failure Markov chain, the longest success run Ln has been attracting considerable attention due to its various applications. In this paper, we study Ln in terms of its two closely connected properties: moment generating function and large deviations. This study generalizes several existing results in the literature, and also finds an application in statistical inference. Our method on the moment generating function is based on a global estimate of the cumulative distribution function of Ln proposed in this paper, and the proofs of the large deviations include the Gärtner–Ellis theorem and the moment generating function.
期刊介绍:
PROBABILITY AND MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS is published by the Kazimierz Urbanik Center for Probability and Mathematical Statistics, and is sponsored jointly by the Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science of University of Wrocław and the Faculty of Pure and Applied Mathematics of Wrocław University of Science and Technology. The purpose of the journal is to publish original contributions to the theory of probability and mathematical statistics.