一个新的二元阿基米德联结公式及其在VaR评价中的应用

IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics Pub Date : 2020-12-21 DOI:10.1515/snde-2019-0096
Cigdem Topcu Guloksuz, Pranesh Kumar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

提出了一种新的生成函数,并在此基础上引入了一种新的阿基米德copula。本文将新阿基米德copula与阿基米德copula家族的三位代表Clayton、Gumbel和Frank copula作为两种股票收益依赖结构的模型。以福特汽车公司和通用汽车公司两大市场指数为指标,采用蒙特卡罗(MC)方法计算风险价值(VaR),利用这些联结模型对日对数收益进行模拟。将所得结果与传统的二元正态假设作为收益模型的MC模拟方法进行了比较。根据回溯检验的结果,用所提出的阿基米德联结公式描述收益率之间的依赖结构,在计算研究组合的VaR时比考虑的模型结果更可靠。
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A new bivariate Archimedean copula with application to the evaluation of VaR
Abstract In this paper, a new generator function is proposed and based on this function a new Archimedean copula is introduced. The new Archimedean copula along with three representatives of Archimedean copula family which are Clayton, Gumbel and Frank copulas are considered as models for the dependence structure between the returns of two stocks. These copula models are used to simulate daily log-returns based on Monte Carlo (MC) method for calculating value at risk (VaR) of the financial portfolio which consists of two market indices, Ford and General Motor Company. The results are compared with the traditional MC simulation method with the bivariate normal assumption as a model of the returns. Based on the backtesting results, describing the dependence structure between the returns by the proposed Archimedean copula provides more reliable results over the considered models in calculating VaR of the studied portfolio.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
12.50%
发文量
34
期刊介绍: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics (SNDE) recognizes that advances in statistics and dynamical systems theory may increase our understanding of economic and financial markets. The journal seeks both theoretical and applied papers that characterize and motivate nonlinear phenomena. Researchers are required to assist replication of empirical results by providing copies of data and programs online. Algorithms and rapid communications are also published.
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