{"title":"一个新的二元阿基米德联结公式及其在VaR评价中的应用","authors":"Cigdem Topcu Guloksuz, Pranesh Kumar","doi":"10.1515/snde-2019-0096","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In this paper, a new generator function is proposed and based on this function a new Archimedean copula is introduced. The new Archimedean copula along with three representatives of Archimedean copula family which are Clayton, Gumbel and Frank copulas are considered as models for the dependence structure between the returns of two stocks. These copula models are used to simulate daily log-returns based on Monte Carlo (MC) method for calculating value at risk (VaR) of the financial portfolio which consists of two market indices, Ford and General Motor Company. The results are compared with the traditional MC simulation method with the bivariate normal assumption as a model of the returns. Based on the backtesting results, describing the dependence structure between the returns by the proposed Archimedean copula provides more reliable results over the considered models in calculating VaR of the studied portfolio.","PeriodicalId":46709,"journal":{"name":"Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics","volume":"26 1","pages":"273 - 285"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2020-12-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1515/snde-2019-0096","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A new bivariate Archimedean copula with application to the evaluation of VaR\",\"authors\":\"Cigdem Topcu Guloksuz, Pranesh Kumar\",\"doi\":\"10.1515/snde-2019-0096\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract In this paper, a new generator function is proposed and based on this function a new Archimedean copula is introduced. The new Archimedean copula along with three representatives of Archimedean copula family which are Clayton, Gumbel and Frank copulas are considered as models for the dependence structure between the returns of two stocks. These copula models are used to simulate daily log-returns based on Monte Carlo (MC) method for calculating value at risk (VaR) of the financial portfolio which consists of two market indices, Ford and General Motor Company. The results are compared with the traditional MC simulation method with the bivariate normal assumption as a model of the returns. Based on the backtesting results, describing the dependence structure between the returns by the proposed Archimedean copula provides more reliable results over the considered models in calculating VaR of the studied portfolio.\",\"PeriodicalId\":46709,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics\",\"volume\":\"26 1\",\"pages\":\"273 - 285\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-12-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1515/snde-2019-0096\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1515/snde-2019-0096\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1515/snde-2019-0096","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
A new bivariate Archimedean copula with application to the evaluation of VaR
Abstract In this paper, a new generator function is proposed and based on this function a new Archimedean copula is introduced. The new Archimedean copula along with three representatives of Archimedean copula family which are Clayton, Gumbel and Frank copulas are considered as models for the dependence structure between the returns of two stocks. These copula models are used to simulate daily log-returns based on Monte Carlo (MC) method for calculating value at risk (VaR) of the financial portfolio which consists of two market indices, Ford and General Motor Company. The results are compared with the traditional MC simulation method with the bivariate normal assumption as a model of the returns. Based on the backtesting results, describing the dependence structure between the returns by the proposed Archimedean copula provides more reliable results over the considered models in calculating VaR of the studied portfolio.
期刊介绍:
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics (SNDE) recognizes that advances in statistics and dynamical systems theory may increase our understanding of economic and financial markets. The journal seeks both theoretical and applied papers that characterize and motivate nonlinear phenomena. Researchers are required to assist replication of empirical results by providing copies of data and programs online. Algorithms and rapid communications are also published.