{"title":"启动整合“气候变化技术”的地球系统治理","authors":"J. Pásztor","doi":"10.1142/s2345748120750068","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Addressing climate emergencies requires a radical social change, and an “earth system” governance approach that combines different factors (including technologies that affect climate). As the Paris Agreement has been reached for four years and came into force for three years, there is a growing recognition that the global average temperature rise cannot be limited to 1.5–2∘C only by emissions reduction or existing carbon removal measures. The reason is that the world has not taken enough actions to deal with the crisis. As reported by IPCC (2018), hundreds of millions of people worldwide are already experiencing the harsh consequences of climate change, from storms to floods, to heatwaves and droughts [IPCC. 2018. “International Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 Degrees.” https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15 (accessed November 5, 2019)]. According to Spratt and Dunlop (2019), as the climate change intensifies, all sectors of society have realized the need to avoid the risks brought by climate change and to deal with the severe disasters that already exist [Spratt, David, and Ian Dunlop. 2019. “Existential Climate-related Security Risk: A Scenario Approach.” https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/148cb0b2c0c79dc4344b279bcf2365336ff23b.pdf (accessed November 5, 2019)]. This raises some profound questions. For instances, should people consider a new responsive measure that is compatible with the natural system which sustains life on the earth, and within the limits of the earth’s tolerance? What forms of decision-making might we need, to help us make the smart collective choices needed for a world where no risk-free options remain? Are familiar governance and decision-making processes still suitable for the goals? Who will make the decisions to promote this transformation? 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According to Spratt and Dunlop (2019), as the climate change intensifies, all sectors of society have realized the need to avoid the risks brought by climate change and to deal with the severe disasters that already exist [Spratt, David, and Ian Dunlop. 2019. “Existential Climate-related Security Risk: A Scenario Approach.” https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/148cb0b2c0c79dc4344b279bcf2365336ff23b.pdf (accessed November 5, 2019)]. This raises some profound questions. For instances, should people consider a new responsive measure that is compatible with the natural system which sustains life on the earth, and within the limits of the earth’s tolerance? What forms of decision-making might we need, to help us make the smart collective choices needed for a world where no risk-free options remain? Are familiar governance and decision-making processes still suitable for the goals? Who will make the decisions to promote this transformation? 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引用次数: 0
摘要
应对气候紧急情况需要彻底的社会变革,以及结合不同因素(包括影响气候的技术)的“地球系统”治理方法。随着《巴黎协定》达成四年并生效三年,人们越来越认识到,不能仅通过减排或现有的碳去除措施将全球平均气温上升限制在1.5–2摄氏度。原因是世界没有采取足够的行动来应对这场危机。根据IPCC(2018)的报告,全球数亿人已经在经历气候变化的严重后果,从风暴到洪水,再到热浪和干旱。“国际气候变化专门委员会关于全球变暖1.5度的特别报告。”https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15(2019年11月5日访问)]。根据Spratt和Dunlop(2019)的说法,随着气候变化的加剧,社会各界都意识到有必要避免气候变化带来的风险,应对已经存在的严重灾害[Spratt,David,and Ian Dunlop.2019。“存在的气候相关安全风险:一种情景方法。”https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/148cb0b2c0c79dc4344b279bcf2365336ff23b.pdf(2019年11月5日访问)]。这引发了一些深刻的问题。例如,人们是否应该考虑一种新的响应措施,这种措施与维持地球生命的自然系统兼容,并在地球的容忍范围内?我们可能需要什么形式的决策,以帮助我们做出一个没有无风险选择的世界所需的明智的集体选择?熟悉的治理和决策流程是否仍然适合目标?谁将做出推动这一转变的决定?如果人们真的想改变他们的决策方式,他们可能需要创造新的治理形式,并决定这种转变是如何开始的,以及受哪个权力的约束。
Start the Earth System Governance that Integrates “Climate-Altering Technologies”
Addressing climate emergencies requires a radical social change, and an “earth system” governance approach that combines different factors (including technologies that affect climate). As the Paris Agreement has been reached for four years and came into force for three years, there is a growing recognition that the global average temperature rise cannot be limited to 1.5–2∘C only by emissions reduction or existing carbon removal measures. The reason is that the world has not taken enough actions to deal with the crisis. As reported by IPCC (2018), hundreds of millions of people worldwide are already experiencing the harsh consequences of climate change, from storms to floods, to heatwaves and droughts [IPCC. 2018. “International Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 Degrees.” https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15 (accessed November 5, 2019)]. According to Spratt and Dunlop (2019), as the climate change intensifies, all sectors of society have realized the need to avoid the risks brought by climate change and to deal with the severe disasters that already exist [Spratt, David, and Ian Dunlop. 2019. “Existential Climate-related Security Risk: A Scenario Approach.” https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/148cb0b2c0c79dc4344b279bcf2365336ff23b.pdf (accessed November 5, 2019)]. This raises some profound questions. For instances, should people consider a new responsive measure that is compatible with the natural system which sustains life on the earth, and within the limits of the earth’s tolerance? What forms of decision-making might we need, to help us make the smart collective choices needed for a world where no risk-free options remain? Are familiar governance and decision-making processes still suitable for the goals? Who will make the decisions to promote this transformation? If people really want to change the way they make decisions, they may need to create new forms of governance and decide how this transformation begins and which authority is subject to.