基于QVAR模型的COVID-19大流行期间加密货币与股票市场的相互联系

Nguyen Hong Yen, Leavitt Ha
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的本文旨在通过描述加密货币和股票市场之间的联系以及新冠肺炎危机对它们之间关系的影响,来研究它们之间的联系。设计/方法论/方法作者采用分位数向量自回归(QVAR)来确定2018年1月1日至2021年12月31日期间九个指标的连通性,以检验加密货币与股市之间的关系。研究结果表明,疫情冲击似乎对全系统的动态连通性产生了影响。动态净总方向连通性意味着比特币(BTC)在样本期间是一个净短持续时间的冲击发射器。BTC是2018-2020年期间的长期净冲击接收器,并在2021年末转变为长期净冲击发送器。以太坊在这两个时期都是一个净冲击发射器。在新冠肺炎爆发期间,币安在2021年受到净冲击之前,变成了一个净短期冲击发射器。不同地区的股票市场在短期和长期中扮演着不同的角色。在新冠肺炎大流行期间,成对连通性表明,加密货币可以解释2020年初影响最严重的股市波动。实际含义对这些市场之间传染的关键因素的深入了解也有助于政策制定者设计适当的政策,以减少这些市场的脆弱性,并最大限度地减少风险或不确定性在这些市场。原创/价值作者是第一个调查加密货币和股票市场之间的相互联系并评估新冠肺炎健康危机等不确定事件对这两个市场之间动态相互联系的影响的人。
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Interlinkages of cryptocurrency and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic by applying a QVAR model
PurposeThis paper aims to study the interlinkages between cryptocurrency and the stock market by characterizing their connectedness and the effects of the COVID-19 crisis on their relations.Design/methodology/approachThe author employs a quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) to identify the connectedness of nine indicators from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2021, in an effort to examine the relationships between cryptocurrency and stock markets.FindingsThe results demonstrate that the pandemic shocks appear to have influences on the system-wide dynamic connectedness. Dynamic net total directional connectedness implies that Bitcoin (BTC) is a net short-duration shock transmitter during the sample. BTC is a long-duration net receiver of shocks during the 2018–2020 period and turns into a long-duration net transmitter of shocks in late 2021. Ethereum is a net shock transmitter in both durations. Binance turns into a net short-duration shock transmitter during the COVID-19 outbreak before receiving net shocks in 2021. The stock market in different areas plays various roles in the short run and long run. During the COVID-19 pandemic shock, pairwise connectedness reveals that cryptocurrencies can explain the volatility of the stock markets with the most severe impact at the beginning of 2020.Practical implicationsInsightful knowledge about key antecedents of contagion among these markets also help policymakers design adequate policies to reduce these markets' vulnerabilities and minimize the spread of risk or uncertainty across these markets.Originality/valueThe author is the first to investigate the interlinkages between the cryptocurrency and the stock market and assess the influences of uncertain events like the COVID-19 health crisis on the dynamic interlinkages between these two markets.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
21
审稿时长
24 weeks
期刊介绍: European Journal of Management and Business Economics is interested in the publication and diffusion of articles of rigorous theoretical, methodological or empirical research associated with the areas of business economics, including strategy, finance, management, marketing, organisation, human resources, operations, and corporate governance, and tourism. The journal aims to attract original knowledge based on academic rigour and of relevance for academics, researchers, professionals, and/or public decision-makers.
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