俄罗斯人口饮酒与自杀死亡率的性别差异

Y. Razvodovsky
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引用次数: 2

摘要

通信:Yury E. Razvodovsky格罗德诺国立医科大学,格罗德诺230009,白俄罗斯高尔基街电话:+375 0152 70 18 84,传真:+375 0152 43 53 41,电子邮件:razvodovsky@tut.by版权所有©2017 KBCSM,萨格勒布电子邮件:alcoholism.kbcsm@gmail.com•www.http//hrcak.srce.hr/acoholism摘要:在大多数国家,男性的自杀率明显高于女性,而女性通常有更高的自杀企图率。在东欧国家,自杀率的性别差异尤其大。有证据表明,酒精在解释这一现象中起着至关重要的作用。在本研究中,我们将使用1965年至2015年间的性别自杀率和人均酒精消费量数据,检验酒精消费与俄罗斯自杀死亡率性别差异之间密切总体水平联系的假设。时间序列分析建模技术(ARIMA)用于检查自杀死亡率的性别差距与人均酒精消费量趋势之间的关系。根据时间序列分析的结果,酒精消费在统计上是与俄罗斯自杀死亡率性别差异相关的重要因素,这意味着人均饮酒量每增加1升,男性和女性自杀死亡率之间的差异就会增加8.3%。分析结果还表明,俄罗斯男性和女性之间66%的自杀死亡率差异可归因于酒精。这项研究的结果间接地支持了这样一种假设,即酒精是过去几十年来俄罗斯自杀死亡率的性别差异及其剧烈波动的主要原因。
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Population Drinking and Gender Gap in Suicide Mortality in Russia
Correspondence to: Yury E. Razvodovsky Grodno State Medical University, Belarus Gorky Street, Grodno 230009, Belarus tel.: + 375 0152 70 18 84, fax: +375 0152 43 53 41, e-mail: razvodovsky@tut.by Copyright © 2017 KBCSM, Zagreb e-mail: alcoholism.kbcsm@gmail.com • www.http//hrcak.srce.hr/acoholism Abstract: Across most countries, suicide rates are significantly higher for men compared to women, while women typically have higher rate of suicide attempts. The gender difference in the suicide rates is particularly large in the Eastern European countries. There is suggestive evidence of a crucial role of alcohol in explanation of this phenomenon. In present study we will test the hypothesis of the close aggregate level link between alcohol consumption and gender difference in suicide mortality rates in Russia using data on sex-specific suicide rates and alcohol consumption per capita between 1965 and 2015. Time-series analytical modeling techniques (ARIMA) were used to examine the relation between the gender gap in suicide mortality and trends in alcohol consumption per capita. According to the results of time-series analysis, alcohol consumption is a statistically significant factor associated with gender gap in suicide mortality in Russia, implying that a 1-litre increase in consumption per capita is associated with an increase in the difference between male and female suicide mortality rates by 8.3%. The results of the analysis also suggest that 66 % of the difference in suicide mortality between males and females in Russia could be attributed to alcohol. The outcomes of this study provide indirect support for the hypothesis that alcohol is a major contributor to the high gender gap in suicide mortality and its dramatic fluctuations in Russia during the last few decades.
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来源期刊
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发文量
1
审稿时长
21 weeks
期刊介绍: Archives of Psychiatry Research is an international peer reviewed journal, open to scientists and clinicians dealing with all basic and clinical studies of all disciplines relating to psychiatric illness or addiction, as well as normal human behaviour, including biological, environmental, psychological, social and epidemiological factors.
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