城市轨道交通应急管理能力评价——以北京地铁13号线为例

IF 2.7 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Transportation Safety and Environment Pub Date : 2023-03-23 DOI:10.1093/tse/tdad015
J. Liu, Yun-song Qi, W. Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了提高城市轨道交通系统的应急管理能力,减少地铁运行中的事故,提出了一种结合层次分析法(AHP)和TOPSIS法的应急管理能力评价方法。基于PPRR (Prevention - prepare - Response - Recovery,预防准备-响应恢复)模型,从“人、机、环境、管理”的角度总结影响城市轨道交通系统应急管理能力的因素。然后,按照应急预防、应急准备、应急响应、应急恢复四个阶段构建了包含20个二级指标的应急管理能力评价指标体系。采用层次分析法计算各指标的权重,并用TOPSIS法分析各指标与最优解的接近度。最后,以北京地铁13号线为例,考察城市轨道交通应急管理能力水平。结果表明:北京市城市轨道交通系统应急管理能力为“良好”,其中危害预防措施(0.31)和应急响应队伍(0.34)对轨道交通应急管理能力的权重较大;该模型可以更准确地评估城市轨道交通应急管理能力,为应急事件管理提供依据。
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Emergency Management Capacity assessment for Urban Rail transit——An example of Beijing Metro Line 13
In order to improve the emergency management capability of the urban rail transit system and reduce accidents during metro operation, an emergency management capability evaluation method combining theAnalytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) is proposed. Based on the PPRR (Prevention Preparation Response Recovery) model, the factors influencing the emergency management capability of the urban rail transit system are summarized from the perspective of ‘human, machine, environment, and management’. Then, an emergency management capability evaluation index system containing 20 secondary indicators is constructed in four stages: emergency prevention, emergency preparation, emergency response, and emergency recovery. The weights of indicators are calculated using the AHP method, and the closeness of each indicator to the optimal solution is analyzed with the TOPSIS method. Finally, take the Beijing metro line 13 as an example to investigate the level of emergency management capability of urban rail transit. The results show that the emergency management capability of Beijing urban rail transit system is ‘well’, among which hazard prevention measures (0.31) and emergency response team (0.34) have a greater weight on the emergency management capability of rail transit. The model can more accurately assess the emergency management capability of urban rail transit and provide a basis for emergency event management.
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来源期刊
Transportation Safety and Environment
Transportation Safety and Environment TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY-
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
13.60%
发文量
32
审稿时长
10 weeks
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