{"title":"国际储备对新兴国家货币独立性的影响:非对称分析","authors":"C. Law","doi":"10.1177/09749101211073933","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The level of international reserves could influence the monetary independence of a country. Nonetheless, this relationship is usually estimated in a single structural equation. This article examines the dynamics from a shock in a partial sum of negative and positive changes in the international reserves on monetary independence in 17 emerging countries from 1991 to 2015 by applying the panel vector regressive estimation. The Granger causality analysis indicates that a decline in the international reserve has a unidirectional impact on monetary independence. The impulse response analysis shows that the monetary independence moves in the same direction immediately after a change in the international reserves. The impact reverses a year later before returning to its initial trend. Besides, the negative partial sum of international reserves has a more lingering effect on monetary independence. Otherwise, the variance decomposition analysis suggests that the monetary independence movement is partially explained by the shock in international reserves, albeit the magnitude is relatively small. The outputs imply that sterilization has played a critical role in moderating the negative effect of raising international reserves on monetary independence. In sum, hoarding of international reserves needs to be complemented with effective sterilization.","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Impacts of International Reserves on Monetary Independence in Emerging Countries: An Asymmetric Analysis\",\"authors\":\"C. Law\",\"doi\":\"10.1177/09749101211073933\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The level of international reserves could influence the monetary independence of a country. Nonetheless, this relationship is usually estimated in a single structural equation. This article examines the dynamics from a shock in a partial sum of negative and positive changes in the international reserves on monetary independence in 17 emerging countries from 1991 to 2015 by applying the panel vector regressive estimation. The Granger causality analysis indicates that a decline in the international reserve has a unidirectional impact on monetary independence. The impulse response analysis shows that the monetary independence moves in the same direction immediately after a change in the international reserves. The impact reverses a year later before returning to its initial trend. Besides, the negative partial sum of international reserves has a more lingering effect on monetary independence. Otherwise, the variance decomposition analysis suggests that the monetary independence movement is partially explained by the shock in international reserves, albeit the magnitude is relatively small. The outputs imply that sterilization has played a critical role in moderating the negative effect of raising international reserves on monetary independence. In sum, hoarding of international reserves needs to be complemented with effective sterilization.\",\"PeriodicalId\":37512,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-01-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1177/09749101211073933\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"Economics, Econometrics and Finance\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/09749101211073933","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Impacts of International Reserves on Monetary Independence in Emerging Countries: An Asymmetric Analysis
The level of international reserves could influence the monetary independence of a country. Nonetheless, this relationship is usually estimated in a single structural equation. This article examines the dynamics from a shock in a partial sum of negative and positive changes in the international reserves on monetary independence in 17 emerging countries from 1991 to 2015 by applying the panel vector regressive estimation. The Granger causality analysis indicates that a decline in the international reserve has a unidirectional impact on monetary independence. The impulse response analysis shows that the monetary independence moves in the same direction immediately after a change in the international reserves. The impact reverses a year later before returning to its initial trend. Besides, the negative partial sum of international reserves has a more lingering effect on monetary independence. Otherwise, the variance decomposition analysis suggests that the monetary independence movement is partially explained by the shock in international reserves, albeit the magnitude is relatively small. The outputs imply that sterilization has played a critical role in moderating the negative effect of raising international reserves on monetary independence. In sum, hoarding of international reserves needs to be complemented with effective sterilization.
期刊介绍:
Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies is a peer-reviewed journal. The aim of the journal is to provide an international platform for knowledge sharing, discussion and networking on the various aspects related to emerging market economies through publications of original research. It aims to make available basic reference material for policy-makers, business executives and researchers interested in issues of fundamental importance to the economic prospects and performance of emerging market economies. The topics for discussion are related to the following general categories: D. Microeconomics E. Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics F. International Economics G. Financial Economics H. Public Economics I. Health, Education, and Welfare J. Labor and Demographic Economics L. Industrial Organization O. Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth Q. Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics • Environmental and Ecological Economics R. Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics Additionally, the journal would be most interested to publish topics related to Global Financial Crisis and the Impact on Emerging Market Economies Economic Development and Inclusive Growth Climate Change and Energy Infrastructure Development and Public Private Partnerships Capital Flows to and from Emerging Market Economies Regional Cooperation Trade and Investment and Development of National and Regional Financial Markets The Belt and Road Initiative.