波兰农村的未来:主要趋势和可能的情景。

IF 0.3 4区 社会学 Q4 SOCIOLOGY Eastern European Countryside Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI:10.1515/eec-2017-0004
Jerzy Bański
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引用次数: 7

摘要

该报告的目的是试图确定影响波兰农村到2050年的最重要因素,并概述农村地区变化的可行方案。这项研究主要基于定性分析和不同专题领域专门研究农村问题的专家的知识。区分了六组因素(经济、技术、法律和行政、政治、社会人口、自然),并分析了每一组最重要的条件。从未来几十年的角度来看,波兰乡村的形象很可能不会发生根本性的变化。然而,我们可以提出这样的主张:这个农村将更加多样化,社会和经济更活跃,作为居住和工作的地方更有吸引力。
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The Future of Rural Poland: the Main Trends and Possible Scenarios.
Abstract The objective of the report is to attempt the identification of the most significant factors that will shape Polish countryside until the year 2050 and to outline the feasible scenarios of changes in rural areas. The study is based primarily on qualitative analysis and on the knowledge of experts specialising in rural subject matter in its different thematic domains. Six groups of factors were distinguished (economic, technological, legal and administrative, political, socio-demographic, natural) and for each of these groups the most important conditions were analysed. The image of the Polish countryside in the perspective of the decades to come will most probably not undergo radical shifts. However, we can make the proposition that this countryside will be more diversified, more socially and economically active, and more attractive as the place of residence and of work.
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