夏令时与犯罪:疲劳也会影响犯罪行为吗?

Q1 Social Sciences JOURNAL OF APPLIED BIOBEHAVIORAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2018-01-24 DOI:10.1111/jabr.12115
Ignacio Munyo
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引用次数: 3

摘要

通讯Ignacio Munyo,蒙得维的亚大学,乌拉圭蒙得维第亚。电子邮件:imunyo@gmail.com;imunyo@um.edu.uy本文探讨了夏令时变化对总犯罪率的影响。为了做到这一点,我用犯罪的每小时数据进行回归,并用以春季夏令时开始为中心的处理变量实现了回归不连续性设计。在春季夏令时改变后,犯罪率显著下降,这意味着凌晨2点损失了一个小时。进一步的证据表明,这些结果并不是由犯罪的时间位移或黑暗程度的变化所驱动的。经验证据表明,犯罪率的下降可能是由潜在罪犯的疲劳所驱动的,并在日常活动理论的视角下进行了解释。然而,该研究无法确定直接的因果效应。
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Daylight saving time and crime: Does tiredness also affect criminal behavior?

This paper explores the effect of Daylight Saving Time (DST) change on aggregate crime rates. In order to do so I run regressions with hourly data on crime and I implement a regression discontinuity design with a treatment variable centered on the beginning of DST in spring. After the DST change in spring, which implies the loss of an hour at 2 a.m., there is a significant decrease in crime. Further evidence suggests that the results are not driven by a temporal displacement of crime or changes in the level of darkness. The empirical evidence suggests that reduction in crime rates could be driven by the tiredness of potential offenders and interpreted under the lens of the Routine Activities Theory. However, the study is not able to identify the direct causal effect.

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期刊介绍: The Journal of Applied Biobehavioral Research, launched in 1993, aims to disseminate findings of behavioral science research which have applications to current problems of society. By publishing relevant research and emphasizing the excellence of experimental design, as well as potential applicability of experimental results, the journal bridges the theoretical and applied areas of biobehavioral research. The Journal of Applied Biobehavioral Research serves as a means of communication among scientists, as well as between researchers and those engaged in the task of solving social and biomedical problems.
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