需要重新配置一致性和可变性,以最好地管理新西兰奥特亚不断变化的洪水风险

IF 2.1 4区 综合性期刊 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand Pub Date : 2023-06-06 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1080/03036758.2023.2211777
Silvia Serrao-Neumann, Iain White, Samuel M Dean, Ryan Paulik, Belinda Sleight, Fernanda Terra Stori, Matthew D Wilson, Emily M Lane
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引用次数: 0

摘要

洪水是奥特亚罗瓦-新西兰最常见的自然灾害,而且人们非常确信,气候变化正在使极端降雨事件变得更加频繁和剧烈。此外,巨大的发展压力可能会增加面临风险的人口和资产数量,并加剧洪水灾害。迄今为止,还没有公开可用的一致方法来准确确定全国范围内的洪水风险,也不知道洪水风险会如何变化;尽管法律越来越要求在多个空间尺度上提供高质量的信息。本文利用经验数据,从中央组织实体的角度出发,深入探讨如何以最佳方式管理奥特亚罗瓦-新西兰不断变化的洪水风险。研究结果证实,需要采取全国一致的洪水风险管理方法,更好地了解奥特亚罗瓦的社区及其对洪水的脆弱性,公平地获取高质量信息和决策支持工具,以及更好地了解对不同社区、地区和地方的经济影响。本文的结论是,为了实现奥特亚罗瓦的抗洪能力,需要对洪水治理进行重新配置,以实现洪水风险管理的全国一致性,同时在地方范围内实现有针对性的可变性。
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The need to reconfigure consistency and variability to best manage changing flood risks in Aotearoa-New Zealand.

Flooding is Aotearoa-New Zealand's most frequent natural hazard, and there is high confidence that climate change is making extreme rainfall events more frequent and intense. Additionally, there are significant development pressures which could both increase the number of people and assets at risk and the flood hazard. To date, there is no publicly available consistent approach to accurately determine flood risk on a national scale, nor for how this may be changing; although there is a growing legislative requirement to provide quality information over multiple spatial scales. This paper draws on empirical data to gain insights on how to best manage changing flood risks in Aotearoa-New Zealand from the perspective of centrally organised entities. Findings confirm the need for a nationally consistent approach to flood risk management, better understanding of Aotearoa's communities and their vulnerability to floods, equitable access to quality information and decision-support tools, and better understanding of the economic impacts on differing communities, regions and places. The paper concludes that to achieve a flood-resilient Aotearoa, flood governance needs to be reconfigured to achieve national consistency in flood risk management whilst enabling targeted variability at the local scale.

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来源期刊
Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand
Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand 综合性期刊-综合性期刊
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
74
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: Aims: The Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand reflects the role of Royal Society Te Aparangi in fostering research and debate across natural sciences, social sciences, and the humanities in New Zealand/Aotearoa and the surrounding Pacific. Research published in Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand advances scientific knowledge, informs government policy, public awareness and broader society, and is read by researchers worldwide.
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