经济增长、外国直接投资和互联网使用对儿童健康结果的影响:来自南非的经验证据

Q2 Social Sciences Development Studies Research Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI:10.1080/21665095.2020.1717362

Mohammad A. Salahuddin, N. Vink, N. Ralph, J. Gow

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引用次数: 16

摘要

摘要本研究考察了经济增长和外国直接投资（FDI）对儿童健康结果的影响，用婴儿死亡率（IMR）和5岁以下儿童死亡率（CMRU5）衡量，并考虑了腐败、不平等和艾滋病毒等几个控制变量。它分析了南非1985-2016年的年度时间序列数据。由于变量具有混合积分阶数，应用自回归分布滞后（ARDL）模型确定协整关系，估计短期和长期系数。结果表明，从短期和长期来看，经济增长和外国直接投资对儿童健康结果的两个指标都有负面显著影响。这意味着经济增长和外国直接投资都有助于降低南非的IMR和CMRU5，从而有助于改善儿童健康状况。Toda和Yamamoto（TY）因果关系检验证实了这些变量之间的因果关系。讨论了政策影响。

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Effects of economic growth, foreign direct investment and internet use on child health outcomes: empirical evidence from South Africa

ABSTRACT This study examines the effects of economic growth and foreign direct investment (FDI) on child health outcomes measured by Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) and Child Mortality Rate Under 5 (CMRU5) with several control variables such as corruption, inequality and HIV among others. It analyzes South Africa's annual time series data for the period 1985–2016. As variables were found with mixed order of integration, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model is applied to determine cointegration and estimate short-run and long-run coefficients. Results indicate that economic growth and FDI have negative significant effects on both indicators of child health outcomes in both the short run and the long run. This implies that both economic growth and FDI contribute towards reducing IMR and CMRU5 in South Africa and thus help improve child health outcomes. Toda and Yamamoto (TY) causality test confirms causal association between these variables. Policy implications are discussed.

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来源期刊

Development Studies Research Social Sciences-Development

CiteScore

3.20

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

12 weeks

期刊介绍： Development Studies Research ( DSR) is a Routledge journal dedicated to furthering debates in development studies. The journal provides a valuable platform for academics and practitioners to present their research on development issues to as broad an audience as possible. All DSR papers are published Open Access. This ensures that anyone, anywhere can engage with the valuable work being carried out by the myriad of academics and practitioners engaged in development research. The readership of DSR demonstrates that our goal of reaching as broad an audience as possible is being achieved. Papers are accessed by over 140 countries, some reaching over 9,000 downloads. The importance of the journal to impact is thus critical and the significance of OA to development researchers, exponential. Since its 2014 launch, the journal has examined numerous development issues from across the globe, including indigenous struggles, aid effectiveness, small-scale farming for poverty reduction, sustainable entrepreneurship, agricultural development, climate risk and the ‘resource curse’. Every paper published in DSR is an emblem of scientific rigour, having been reviewed first by members of an esteemed Editorial Board, and then by expert academics in a rigorous review process. Every paper, from the one examining a post-Millennium Development Goals environment by one of its architects (see Vandermortele 2014), to ones using established academic theory to understand development-imposed change (see Heeks and Stanforth 2015), and the more policy-oriented papers that contribute valuable recommendations to policy-makers and practitioners (see DSR Editor’s Choice: Policy), reaches a multidisciplinary audience.