利用随机模型对高频股市数据进行建模

IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Stochastic Analysis and Applications Pub Date : 2021-06-28 DOI:10.1080/07362994.2021.1942046
M. Mariani, Osei K. Tweneboah
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要本文的主要任务是使用Lévy过程驱动的叠加耦合Ornstein-Uhlenbeck型随机微分方程组,对雷曼兄弟金融崩溃事件的相关性和影响进行建模。开发这些类型的有效模型以正确量化和预测这些类型的时间序列的样本路径是至关重要的,因为它有助于在财务建模领域防止损失或实现利润最大化。本研究的结果表明,随机模型的解很好地拟合了高频金融股市数据,因为它捕捉到了现实的依赖结构。此外,估计的模型参数对于进行推断和预测这些类型的事件是有用的。
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Modeling high frequency stock market data by using stochastic models
Abstract The main task of this paper is to model the dependency and effects of the Lehman Brothers financial collapse event using a superposed and coupled Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type system of stochastic differential equations driven by a Lévy process. The development of these types of efficient models to correctly quantify and predict the sample paths of these kinds of time series is essential since it helps prevent losses or maximize profits in the field of financial modeling. The results obtained from this study suggest that the solutions of the stochastic models provide a good fit to the high frequency financial stock market data since it captures realistic dependence structures. In addition, the estimated model parameters are useful for making inferences and predicting these types of events.
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来源期刊
Stochastic Analysis and Applications
Stochastic Analysis and Applications 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
7.70%
发文量
32
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Stochastic Analysis and Applications presents the latest innovations in the field of stochastic theory and its practical applications, as well as the full range of related approaches to analyzing systems under random excitation. In addition, it is the only publication that offers the broad, detailed coverage necessary for the interfield and intrafield fertilization of new concepts and ideas, providing the scientific community with a unique and highly useful service.
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