恶性通货膨胀和美元化下的企业投资行为:以津巴布韦上市公司为例

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Iranian Economic Review Pub Date : 2021-05-28 DOI:10.22059/IER.2021.81554
Mbulawa Strike, F. N. Okurut, M. NtsosaMogale., N. Sinha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

津巴布韦经历的恶性通货膨胀(2000-2008年)和美元化(2009-2019年)对投资决策产生了影响。这些时期的独特性证明了进行批判性分析的必要性,因为是否投资的决策对这种结构变化很敏感。有鉴于此,本研究采用修正的托宾Q模型来检验投资行为的主要决定因素。利用2000年至2016年期间30家上市和非金融公司的数据,应用了一个动态和非线性模型。投资决策的主要决定因素是管理自由裁量权或权力、财务约束、不确定性和获得外部资金来源。研究结果对分析周期很敏感,并且与等级假设一致。投资支出和其他公司财务决策之间的相互作用得到了证实。决策者在做出投资决策时需要采取差异化的方法。制定对当前市场条件敏感的政策是可取的;减少财务约束,消除信息低效,以提高债务融资和其他外部资金来源的利用率。对管理决策权的监督将降低根深蒂固的程度,从而减少代理问题。企业应该通过减少债务来提高未来的财务灵活性,而对企业规模敏感的动态投资策略更为合理。
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Firm Investment Behavior under Hyperinflation and Dollarization: A Case of Zimbabwe Listed Firms
Zimbabwe’s experiences hyperinflation (2000-2008) and dollarization (2009-2019) has implications on the making of investment decisions. The uniqueness of these periods justifies the need for a critical analysis as decisions on whether or not to invest are sensitive to such structural changes. In view of this, the study uses the modified Tobin’s Q model to examine the main determinants of investment behavior. A dynamic and non-linear model is applied using data from a panel of 30 listed and non-financial firms for the period 2000 to 2016. The main determinants of investment decisions are managerial discretion or power, financial constraints, uncertainty and access to external sources of finance. Findings are sensitive to the period of analysis and consistent with the pecking order hypothesis. Interactions between investment expenditure and other corporate financial decisions are confirmed. Policy makers need to take a differentiated approach in making investment decisions. It is desirable to develop policies that are sensitive to prevailing market conditions; reduce financial constraints and remove informational inefficiencies to improve uptake of debt finance and other external funding sources. Monitoring of managerial decision making power will reduce levels of entrenchment and hence the agency problem. Firms should improve on future financial flexibility by taking less debt and a dynamic investment strategy that is sensitive to firm size is more plausible.
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来源期刊
Iranian Economic Review
Iranian Economic Review Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
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