结合贴现权和分配权。气候变化经济评估的教训

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI:10.3280/efe2019-001012
Disa Asplund
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在一些成本效益分析(CBA)应用中,例如用于评估气候变化损害的应用中,分配权重用于解释边际消费的效用递减。这通常是通过时间内分配权重来实现的,它与贴现相结合,以说明时间间的公平和效率。有时,特定区域的贴现率被用来解释不同地理区域的预期增长差异。在这里,我表明,如果将时间内分配权重与内生和区域特定贴现率结合使用,那么这将导致人均经济增长的双重计算。在顶级气候经济学家的小圈子里,这个问题已经为人所知好几年了,但同行评议的文献对这个问题却相当含蓄。因此,本文的贡献是通过形式化的处理使问题变得明确,并在一定程度上扩展了它的普遍性。使用PAGE2002模型证明,将分配权重和贴现相结合的正确方法比不正确的方法产生约20-30%的估计值。
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Combining discounting and distributional weights. Lessons from climate change economic assessments
In some cost benefit analysis (CBA) applications, such as those used for the valuation of climate change damage, distributional weights are used to account for diminishing utility of marginal consumption. This is usually done by means of intra-temporal distributional weights, which are combined with discounting to account for inter-temporal equity and efficiency. Sometimes region-specific discount rates have used to account for differences in projected growth across geographical areas. Here I show that if intra-temporal distributional weights are used in combination with endogenous and region-specific discount rates, then this will lead to a double counting of per capita economic growth. This problem has been known for some years now - in the tight circle of top climate economist - but the peer-reviewed literature has been rather implicit about the matter. The contribution of this paper is therefore to make the problem explicit by handle it formally, and to expand its generality somewhat. It is demonstrated - using the PAGE2002 model - that correct the way of combining distributional weights and discounting yield about 20-30% higher estimates than the incorrect method. .
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来源期刊
Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment
Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
0.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
8
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