理解非洲原油进口需求行为:加纳案例

George Marbuah
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引用次数: 8

摘要

与许多非洲国家一样,原油进口是加纳经济的主要负担。我们使用1980-2012年期间的数据来估计原油的短期和长期进口需求模型。结果表明,原油需求在短期内不具有价格弹性,但在长期内具有价格弹性。原油进口的其他重要驱动因素是实际有效汇率、国内石油产量和人口增长。收入被认为是原油需求的最大推动力。提出了我们的研究结果的政策含义。
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Understanding crude oil import demand behaviour in Africa: The Ghana case

As in many African countries, crude oil importation is a major drain on the economy of Ghana. We estimate short-run and long-run import demand models for crude oil using data over the period 1980–2012. Results show that demand for crude oil is price inelastic in the short-run but elastic in the long-run. Other important drivers of crude oil import are the real effective exchange rate, domestic oil production and population growth. Income is found to be the strongest driver of crude oil demand. Policy implications of our results are presented.

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