{"title":"波兰矿业的事故率。现状与展望","authors":"","doi":"10.46544/ams.v27i3.05","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The article presents the analysis of accidents at work in the Polish mining industry in the period from 2010 to 2020 with forecasts for the next three years. The study consists of two parts. The first part deals with methods of analysing working conditions in the mining industry. A key element of the literature review is the econometric methods that have been used by researchers to analyse accidents at work in mining. In the empirical part (the second part of the paper), the authors present the results of their own econometric analysis. The authors use econometric models in predicting the indicator (W*) – total number of people injured in accidents per thousand employees. Testing classical econometric models, the authors obtained the best forecasts (based on the obtained forecast errors) in the Winters' model and the Brown's model. The accident at work in mining is an important topic for research because the branch of industry belongs to the branch with hard work. Health and safety in mines has a great importance for the sake of specific conditions in that kind of industry. Continuous analysis of accidents at work is necessary in evaluation of system effectiveness of health and safety system in all mines. Forecasting of accident at work can help miners to build safety in mines","PeriodicalId":50889,"journal":{"name":"Acta Montanistica Slovaca","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2000,"publicationDate":"2022-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Accident rate in Polish mining. Current status and forecast\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.46544/ams.v27i3.05\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The article presents the analysis of accidents at work in the Polish mining industry in the period from 2010 to 2020 with forecasts for the next three years. The study consists of two parts. The first part deals with methods of analysing working conditions in the mining industry. A key element of the literature review is the econometric methods that have been used by researchers to analyse accidents at work in mining. In the empirical part (the second part of the paper), the authors present the results of their own econometric analysis. The authors use econometric models in predicting the indicator (W*) – total number of people injured in accidents per thousand employees. Testing classical econometric models, the authors obtained the best forecasts (based on the obtained forecast errors) in the Winters' model and the Brown's model. The accident at work in mining is an important topic for research because the branch of industry belongs to the branch with hard work. Health and safety in mines has a great importance for the sake of specific conditions in that kind of industry. Continuous analysis of accidents at work is necessary in evaluation of system effectiveness of health and safety system in all mines. Forecasting of accident at work can help miners to build safety in mines\",\"PeriodicalId\":50889,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Acta Montanistica Slovaca\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-12-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Acta Montanistica Slovaca\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.46544/ams.v27i3.05\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Acta Montanistica Slovaca","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.46544/ams.v27i3.05","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Accident rate in Polish mining. Current status and forecast
The article presents the analysis of accidents at work in the Polish mining industry in the period from 2010 to 2020 with forecasts for the next three years. The study consists of two parts. The first part deals with methods of analysing working conditions in the mining industry. A key element of the literature review is the econometric methods that have been used by researchers to analyse accidents at work in mining. In the empirical part (the second part of the paper), the authors present the results of their own econometric analysis. The authors use econometric models in predicting the indicator (W*) – total number of people injured in accidents per thousand employees. Testing classical econometric models, the authors obtained the best forecasts (based on the obtained forecast errors) in the Winters' model and the Brown's model. The accident at work in mining is an important topic for research because the branch of industry belongs to the branch with hard work. Health and safety in mines has a great importance for the sake of specific conditions in that kind of industry. Continuous analysis of accidents at work is necessary in evaluation of system effectiveness of health and safety system in all mines. Forecasting of accident at work can help miners to build safety in mines
期刊介绍：
Acta Montanistica Slovaca publishes high quality articles on basic and applied research in the following fields:
geology and geological survey;
mining;
Earth resources;
underground engineering and geotechnics;
mining mechanization, mining transport, deep hole drilling;
ecotechnology and mineralurgy;
process control, automation and applied informatics in raw materials extraction, utilization and processing;
other similar fields.
Acta Montanistica Slovaca is the only scientific journal of this kind in Central, Eastern and South Eastern Europe.
The submitted manuscripts should contribute significantly to the international literature, even if the focus can be regional. Manuscripts should cite the extant and relevant international literature, should clearly state what the wider contribution is (e.g. a novel discovery, application of a new technique or methodology, application of an existing methodology to a new problem), and should discuss the importance of the work in the international context.
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