贸易开放对巴基斯坦经济增长的影响研究协整的ARDL边界检验方法

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Iranian Economic Review Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI:10.22059/IER.2020.77643
K. Zafar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的主要目的是调查贸易开放对巴基斯坦经济增长的影响。我们在1975-2016年期间使用了Johensen和自回归分布滞后(ARDL)协整以及ECM技术。实证估计结果充分证明了各变量之间存在着短期和长期的正稳定协整关系。我们的实证研究结果进一步描述了贸易开放和外国直接投资对巴基斯坦经济增长的显著正影响。此外,格兰杰因果检验也证实了贸易开放与经济增长之间的双向因果关系。因此,可以得出结论,贸易开放可以在巴基斯坦的经济增长中发挥关键作用。
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The Impact of Trade Openness on Economic Growth in Pakistan; ARDL Bounds Testing Approach to Co-integration
T he main objective of this paper was the investigation of the impact of the trade openness on economic growth in Pakistan. We have been employed both the Johensen and Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Co-integration together with ECM Techniques for the period 1975-2016. The empirical estimated results are the sound evidence that there exists a short-run and long-run positive and stable cointegration among the variables. Our empirical findings further depict that trade openness and foreign direct investment has a significant positive impact on economic growth in Pakistan. Moreover, the Granger causality test also confirms the bidirectional causality between trade openness and economic growth. It is, therefore, concluded that trade openness can play a key role as the economic growth of Pakistan is concerned.
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来源期刊
Iranian Economic Review
Iranian Economic Review Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
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