制度质量与股价崩盘风险:全球视角

IF 1.8 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE International Journal of Managerial Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-04 DOI:10.1108/ijmf-01-2023-0030
Cong Wang, Yifan Lu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的本研究旨在从全球角度为正规机构与股价暴跌风险之间的关系提供实证证据。设计/方法论/方法本文使用了来自205个发展中国家和发达国家的35468家公司在1987年至2019年的数据,并通过使用Mundlak随机效应估计器来解决内生性问题。研究结果作者发现,在控制了杠杆率、资产回报率、公司规模、投资等常见的崩溃风险决定因素以及GDP增长等宏观因素后,制度质量对股价崩溃风险有显著的负面影响(即更好的制度可以降低崩溃风险)。这种影响对不同的崩溃风险衡量标准和机构质量子指标都是稳健的。此外,作者还发现,这种影响在以不同收入水平为特征的经济体中普遍存在。原创性/价值据作者所知,目前还没有已知的研究探讨机构质量与股价暴跌风险之间的潜在因果关系。因此,本研究的研究主题具有原创性,可以对现有文献做出重大贡献。
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Institution quality and stock price crash risk: a global perspective
PurposeThis study aims to provide empirical evidence on the relationship between formal institutions and stock price crash risk from a global perspective.Design/methodology/approachThis paper uses data of 35,468 firms from 205 developing and developed countries over the years 1987–2019 and address the endogeneity issue by employing the Mundlak random effects estimator.FindingsThe authors find a significant negative impact of institution quality on stock price crash risk (i.e. better institutions reduce crash risk), after controlling for common determinants of crash risk such as leverage, return on asset, firm size, investment, etc. as well as macro factors such as GDP growth. This effect is robust to different measures of crash risk and sub-indicators of institutions quality. In addition, the authors also find this effect to be universally present in economies characterized by different levels of income.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors' knowledge, there's no known study that explores the potential causal relationship between institution quality and stock price crash risk. Therefore, the research topic in this study is original and can contribute significantly to the existing literature.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
47
期刊介绍: Treasury and Financial Risk Management ■Redefining, measuring and identifying new methods to manage risk for financing decisions ■The role, costs and benefits of insurance and hedging financing decisions ■The role of rating agencies in managerial decisions Investment and Financing Decision Making ■The uses and applications of forecasting to examine financing decisions measurement and comparisons of various financing options ■The public versus private financing decision ■The decision of where to be publicly traded - including comparisons of market structures and exchanges ■Short term versus long term portfolio management - choice of securities (debt vs equity, convertible vs non-convertible)
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