替代预测2040年八个国家的核电

Yu Sang Chang, J. Yoo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究预测了中国、美国、印度、韩国、日本、加拿大和巴西八个国家的核电强度,进而用于估计2020年、2030年和2040年的净核能发电量。然后,将这项研究预测的净核能发电量与美国能源信息署发布的《2013年国际能源展望》预测的发电量进行了比较。本研究对2040年的预测比能源信息署对中国的预测高57.7%,也比美国高54%。对于其他四个国家,能源信息署的预测高于本研究的预测,但幅度较小。将讨论研究结果的影响。
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Alternative projection of the 2040 nuclear power for eight countries
This study projected nuclear electricity intensity for eight countries - China, the USA, India, South Korea, Japan, Canada and Brazil - which in turn is used to estimate net nuclear electricity generation for year 2020, 2030, and 2040. The net nuclear electricity generation projected by this study then was compared to those projected in the 2013 International Energy Outlook published by the US Energy Information Administration. The 2040 projection from this study is 57.7% higher than Energy Information Administration's projection for China and also 54% higher for the USA. For four other countries, Energy Information Administration's projections are higher than those from this study, but by a smaller margin. Implications from the findings will be discussed.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Energy Technology and Policy
International Journal of Energy Technology and Policy Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
16
期刊介绍: The IJETP is a vehicle to provide a refereed and authoritative source of information in the field of energy technology and policy.
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