基于堆叠集成学习的财务困境预测

Muhammad Fadhlil Hadi, De-Ron Liang, T. K. Priyambodo, Azhari Sn
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引用次数: 0

摘要

先前的研究广泛使用财务比率来建立财务困境的预测模型。奥特曼比率是最常用的预测方法,尤其是在学术研究中。然而,奥特曼比率高度依赖于财务报表中数据的有效性,因此需要其他变量来评估财务报表被操纵的可能性。之前的研究中没有一项将五个奥特曼比率与Beneish M-分数相结合。我们使用Stacking Ensemble Learning对危机公司进行分类并进行全面分析。这种洞察力有助于投资大众通过混合所有财务指标信息并根据长期和短期条件以及可能的财务报表操纵进行仔细评估来做出贷款决策。
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Financial Distress Prediction with Stacking Ensemble Learning
Previous studies have used financial ratios extensively to build their predictive model of financial distress. The Altman ratio is the most often used to predict, especially in academic studies. However, the Altman ratio is highly dependent on the validity of the data in financial statements, so other variables are needed to assess the possibility of manipulation of financial statements. None of the previous studies combined the five Altman Ratios with the Beneish M-Score. We use Stacking Ensemble Learning to classify crisis companies and perform a comprehensive analysis. This insight helps the investment public make lending decisions by mixing all the financial indicator information and assessing it carefully based on long-term and short-term conditions and possible manipulation of financial statements.
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发文量
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审稿时长
12 weeks
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