拉丁美洲的贫困、党派之争与选票购买

IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Latin American Politics and Society Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI:10.1017/lap.2022.66
M. Justesen, L. Manzetti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要拉丁美洲的选举竞争通常以政党试图通过购买选票来影响选举结果为特征,这种做法在整个地区的选举中似乎一直存在。这篇文章探讨了客户主义政党对选票购买的使用是如何由两个选民特征共同形成的:贫困和党派偏见。我们假设,客户主义政党奉行混合策略,广泛针对他们的核心选民,但也针对贫穷的摇摆选民。虽然大多数现有证据来自单一国家的研究,但这项研究增加了来自22个拉丁美洲国家调查数据多级回归的跨国家证据。根据经验,我们发现贫困主要对摇摆不定的选民很重要。对于党派人士来说,贫困对选票购买的影响较弱。这些结果表明,贫困在选票购买策略中发挥着重要作用,但党派偏见也在竞选期间调节了客户主义政党的选票购买策略。
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Poverty, Partisanship, and Vote Buying in Latin America
ABSTRACT Electoral contests in Latin America are often characterized by attempts by political parties to sway the outcome of elections using vote buying—a practice that seems to persist during elections throughout the region. This article examines how clientelist parties’ use of vote buying is jointly shaped by two voter traits: poverty and partisanship. We hypothesize that clientelist parties pursue a mixed strategy, broadly targeting their core voters but also poor swing voters. While most of the existing evidence comes from single-country studies, this study adds cross-national evidence from multilevel regressions of survey data from 22 Latin American countries. Empirically, we find that poverty matters mainly for swing voters. For partisans, the effect of poverty on vote buying is weaker. These results suggest that poverty plays an important role in vote-buying strategies—but also that partisanship moderates clientelistic parties’ vote-buying strategies during electoral campaigns.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
5.30%
发文量
44
期刊介绍: Latin American Politics and Society publishes the highest-quality original social science scholarship on Latin America. The Editorial Board, comprising leading U.S., Latin American, and European scholars, is dedicated to challenging prevailing orthodoxies and promoting innovative theoretical and methodological perspectives on the states, societies, economies, and international relations of the Americas in a globalizing world.
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