系统中不断增长的不平等体现了齐夫定律

IF 2.6 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Journal of Physics Complexity Pub Date : 2023-03-02 DOI:10.1088/2632-072X/acc0c1
Giordano De Marzo, F. Attili, L. Pietronero
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引用次数: 1

摘要

经济学和统计学的一个核心问题是从实证数据开始评估收入或财富不平等。在这里,我们关注基尼指数的行为,基尼指数是最常用的不平等指标之一,在齐普夫定律的存在下,这种情况发生在许多复杂的金融和经济系统中。首先,我们证明了渐近公式在有限尺寸系统中的应用总是会导致对不等式的高估。因此,我们计算了有限大小的校正,并表明根据Zipf指数,可以观察到两种不同的状态:低不等式,其中Gini指数小于1,最大不等式,其中基尼指数渐近趋向于其最大值1。在这两种情况下,扩张系统的不平等性都会随着增长的影响而缓慢增加,其比例永远不会快于规模的倒数。我们在美国城市和加密货币市场这两个真实系统上测试了我们的计算,在这两种情况下都观察到不平等的增加,这完全可以用齐普夫定律和系统的扩张来解释。这表明,在不断增长的复杂系统中,必须考虑有限规模效应,以便正确评估不平等是由于自然增长过程而增加,还是由于系统经济结构的变化而产生。最后,我们讨论了在分析调查数据时必须如何仔细考虑这些影响。
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Growing inequality in systems showing Zipf’s law
A central problem in economics and statistics is the assessment of income or wealth inequality starting from empirical data. Here we focus on the behavior of Gini index, one of the most used inequality measures, in presence of Zipf’s law, a situation which occurs in many complex financial and economical systems. First, we show that the application of asymptotic formulas to finite size systems always leads to an overestimation of inequality. We thus compute finite size corrections and we show that depending on Zipf’s exponent two distinct regimes can be observed: low inequality, where Gini index is less than one and maximal inequality, where Gini index asymptotically tends to its maximal value one. In both cases, the inequality of an expanding system slowly increases just as effect of growth, with a scaling never faster than the inverse of the size. We test our computations on two real systems, US cities and the cryptocurrency market, observing in both cases an increase of inequality that is completely explained by Zipf’s law and the systems expanding. This shows that in growing complex systems finite size effects must be considered in order to properly assess if inequality is increasing due to natural growth processes or if it is produced by a change in the economical structure of the systems. Finally we discuss how such effects must be carefully considered when analyzing survey data.
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来源期刊
Journal of Physics Complexity
Journal of Physics Complexity Computer Science-Information Systems
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
11.10%
发文量
45
审稿时长
14 weeks
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