资本外逃是否降低了经济增长?来自新兴亚洲的证据

IF 1.3 Q3 ECONOMICS Journal of Financial Economic Policy Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI:10.1108/jfep-03-2023-0068
Shahanara Basher, A. Mamun, H. Bal, N. Hoque, M. Uddin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在通过1981-2019年的年度数据,对选定的亚洲新兴经济体的资本外逃进行最新估计,并检验资本外逃的反增长现象。设计/方法/方法本研究依靠残差法得出资本外逃的估计,并进行必要的调整。然后运用自回归分布滞后边界检验方法检验资本外逃对亚洲新兴经济体经济增长的影响。研究发现,资本外逃是亚洲新兴经济体经济增长放缓的主要原因。除了采取适当的政策解决导致资本外逃的问题外,在必要的政策、基础设施、制度和监管支持下,为新兴国家释放私营部门主导的增长之路,反而可以帮助它们留住和汇回国内资本。早期研究中的资本外逃估计是对立的,因为它们在定义和估计过程方面有所不同。同样,这些经济体中资本外逃的增长效应在研究和政策辩论中受到的关注很少。此外,现有研究存在国别或地区差异,无法比较资本外逃对该地区不同新兴经济体的增长效应。基于对资本外逃的共同估计,对大量国家的增长效应进行单独研究,可以解决本研究旨在解决的这些问题。
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Does capital flight tone down economic growth? Evidence from emerging Asia
Purpose This study aims to offer an up-to-date estimate of capital flight from selected emerging Asian economies and examine the anti-growth phenomenon of capital flight by using annual data for the period 1981–2019. Design/methodology/approach The study relies on residual methods to derive the estimate of capital flight with necessary adjustments. It then applies the autoregressive distributed lag Bounds testing approach in examining the impact of capital flight on the economic growth of Asian emerging economies. Findings The study identifies capital flight as the attributor to the slower economic growth of the selected emerging economies of Asia. Practical implications Apart from appropriate policies addressing the issues causing capital flight, unleashing the way of private sector-led growth of the emerging countries with necessary policy, infrastructural, institutional and regulatory support can rather help them retain and repatriate domestic capital. Originality/value The capital flight estimates in earlier studies are antithetical as they differ in terms of definition and estimation procedure. Again, the growth effect of capital flight in these economies has received meager attention in research and policy debates. Furthermore, being country-specific or region-specific, existing studies are unable to compare the growth effect of capital flight for different emerging economies in this region. Examining the growth effects for a large number of countries separately based on a common estimate of capital flight can resolve these issues that this study aims to do.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
8.30%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: The Journal of Financial Economic Policy publishes high quality peer reviewed research on financial economic policy issues. The journal is devoted to the advancement of the understanding of the entire spectrum of financial policy and control issues and their interactions to economic phenomena. Economic and financial phenomena involve complex trade-offs and linkages between various types of risk factors and variables of interest to policy makers and market participants alike. Market participants such as economic policy makers, regulators, banking and competition supervisors, corporations and financial institutions, require timely and robust answers to the contemporary and emerging policy questions. In turn, such answers require thorough input by the academics, policy makers and practitioners alike. The Journal of Financial Economic Policy provides the forum to satisfy this need. The journal publishes and invites concise papers to enable a prompt response to current and emerging policy affairs.
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