东盟部分国家日内汇率波动溢出

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI:10.21098/bemp.v24i3.1693
Neluka Devpura, I. Gunadi, Aryo Sasongko
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引用次数: 6

摘要

在本文中,我们使用选定东盟国家(新加坡、印度尼西亚、马来西亚、泰国和菲律宾)的每小时汇率数据来检验汇率自身冲击主导汇率波动的假设。我们发现强有力的证据表明,本国汇率波动解释了64%至86%的本国汇率波动。当我们将人民币纳入分析时,这些结果不会改变。此外,我们发现东盟国家的汇率冲击解释了印尼、泰国和新加坡36%、24%和23%的汇率波动,这表明这些国家的汇率波动更加同步。
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VOLATILITY SPILLOVER OF INTRADAY EXCHANGE RATES ON SOME SELECTED ASEAN COUNTRIES
In this paper, we use hourly exchange rate data for selected ASEAN countries (Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines) to test the hypothesis that exchange rate own shocks dominate exchange rate volatility. We find strong evidence that own exchange rate volatility explains between 64% to 86% of their own exchange rate volatility movements. These results do not change when we include the Chinese CNY currency in the analysis. Moreover, we find that exchange rate shocks of ASEAN countries explain 36%, 24% and 23% of exchange rate volatility movements of Indonesia, Thailand, and Singapore, suggesting that for these countries are more synchronized.
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来源期刊
Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan
Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Finance
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
1
审稿时长
5 weeks
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