外国直接投资对国内投资的拥挤效应:来自亚洲的证据

Nurul Azwanie Binti Budang, Taufik Abd Hakim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在通过亚洲金融危机的发生(亚洲金融危机之前、期间和之后)来考察外国直接投资(FDI)流入对国内投资(DI)的影响和后果。数据收集于1993- 2001年,分为1993-1995年(亚洲金融危机前)、1996-1998年(亚洲金融危机期间)和19992001年(亚洲金融危机后)三个时间段,共包括38个亚洲国家。在本文中,我们使用固定效应(FE)和随机效应(RE)估计器的平衡面板数据估计了工具变量(IV)的存在。一般的实证发现发现,在亚洲金融危机期间和之后的子时期,FDI对FDI的影响都是(负)的。因此,本研究得出的结论是,在亚洲金融危机之前,FDI的流入并不具有统计学意义,并且对FDI有害。然而,在亚洲金融危机期间和之后,FDI的影响显著,但与FDI呈负相关。因此,本研究揭示了不同的经济条件对亚洲国家FDI对FDI影响不显著或不显著的影响。通讯作者:Nurul Azwanie Binti Budang通讯作者电子邮件:nurulazwanie94.na@gmail.com首次投稿:2019年5月5日修改:2019年7月31日接收:2019年8月26日
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The crowding effects of foreign direct investment on domestic investment: Evidence from Asia
This paper intends to investigate the impacts and consequences of the inflow of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on Domestic Investment (DI) by the occurrence of the financial crisis (before, during and after Asia financial crisis) in Asia. The data were collected from 1993 to 2001 and separated into three subperiods of 1993-1995 (Before Asia Financial Crisis), 1996-1998 (During Asia Financial Crisis) and 19992001 (After Asia Financial Crisis), consisting of 38 Asian countries. In this paper, we estimated the data using the balanced panel data of Fixed Effects (FE) and Random Effects (RE) estimators with the existence of Instrumental Variables (IV). The general empirical finding found that FDI has crowded out (negative) effect on DI for all sub-periods where sub-periods during and after the Asia financial crisis showed significant results. Thus, this study concludes that the inflow of FDI is not statistically significant and harmful for DI before the Asia financial crisis. However, the impact of FDI is significant but negatively correlated with DI for the case of during and after the Asia financial crisis. Therefore, this study reveals that different economic conditions influence the inconsistent significance or not significant impact of FDI on DI in Asian countries. Corresponding author: Nurul Azwanie Binti Budang Email address for corresponding author: nurulazwanie94.na@gmail.com First submission received: 5th May 2019 Revised submission received: 31st July 2019 Accepted: 26th August 2019
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