新冠肺炎患者治愈时间分析

Ting-ting Huang, Si-yu Liu, Xiao-tong Shen, Jia-xin Yang, Jun-xia Zhang, Chang-hua Ning, Lei Cao, Yong-xiao Cao
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摘要

目的:分析新型冠状病毒病2019(COVID-19)从诊断到治愈的治愈时间。根据省、市卫健委公布的治愈病例入院、诊断、出院时间,计算从诊断到出院的平均时间,并根据累计诊断数、治愈数、死亡数等汇总数据及其比例关系,计算治愈时间。580例COVID-19患者的治愈时间曲线呈偏态分布,偏度为1 09,平均治愈时间为(14 6±6 7)d,中位数为13 d, 95%可信区间为(6 9,21 0)。根据累计诊断数、治愈病例数和死亡人数之间的关系计算的平均治愈时间为(13 3±35)d。中位数的13 5 d固化时间的平均值计算基于治愈的比例情况下端点的数量(14±2 4 2)d,与14 5 d的平均次数计算的基础上累积的诊断病例数量之间的关系,治愈的病例和死亡人数的数量,平均治愈时间情况下与COVID-19武汉,湖北省和全国15天,15 5天,15天,结论:新型冠状病毒肺炎的中位治愈时间为13 ~ 15 ~ 5天,在不同的疫情时期有一定的差异,但不同地区之间差异不大
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An analysis on cure time of patients with COVID-19
Objective: To analyze the cure time from diagnosis to cure of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) Methods: Based on the time of admission, diagnosis, and discharge of cured cases announced by the provincial and municipal health committees, the average period from diagnosis to discharge was calculated And based on the aggregate data including the cumulative number of diagnoses, the number of curedcases and the number of deaths and their proportional relationship, we calculated the cure time Results: The cure time curve of 580 COVID-19 patients had skewed distribution, with a skewness of 1 09, a mean cure time of (14 6±6 7) days, a median of 13 days, and a 95% confidence interval (6 9, 21 0) The average cure time calculated based on the relationship between the cumulative number of diagnoses, the number of cured cases and the number of deaths was (13 3±3 5)d, with a median of 13 5 d The average value of the cure time calculated based on the proportion of cured cases to the number of endpoints was (14 2±4 2)d, with the median number of 14 5 d Based on the calculation of the relationship between the cumulative number of diagnosed cases, the number of cured cases and the number of deaths, the median cure time of cases with COVID-19 in Wuhan, Hubei Province, and the whole country was 15 days, 15 5 days and 15 days, respectively The mediancure time for COVID-19cases in Wuhan, Hubei, and the whole country was 14 days Conclusion: The median cure time of COVID-19 is 13-15 5 days There is some variation at different time of the outbreak, but there is not much difference between different regions
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