农户储蓄的决定因素:以埃塞俄比亚阿姆哈拉州北谢瓦地区为例

IF 0.7 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Investment Management Pub Date : 2018-11-28 DOI:10.11648/J.JIM.20180705.13
Alebachew Goshim Azeref, Yohanes Tefera Gelagil
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引用次数: 4

摘要

长期经济增长需要资本投资——基础设施、教育和技术、企业扩张等等——而国内资本投资的主要资金来源是家庭储蓄。在发展中国家,经济波动和气候风险导致了重要的收入差异,使家庭容易遭受严重的困难和挑战。此外,他们的社会覆盖范围受到限制,信贷和保险市场也不发达和不文明。本研究旨在调查阿姆哈拉地区北舍瓦地区家庭储蓄的决定因素。采用多阶段随机抽样技术,通过2017/18年度的实地调查,抽取150名受访者的数据。户主直接询问他们的教育水平、家庭规模、年龄、每年比尔储蓄额、资产、收入等问题。样本包含有关农村家庭的信息。采用普通最小二乘法进行估计。普通最小二乘法分析给出了该地区家庭储蓄的决定因素。结果表明,总抚养率、家庭总收入和家庭规模显著提高了家庭储蓄。户主、性别、家庭土地占有率、婚姻状况和家庭牲畜数量的教育降低了家庭的储蓄水平。本研究也支持生命周期假说的存在。根据研究结果,研究建议政府应向学校、学院和大学各级的学生提供免费的教育材料和奖学金。这样,家庭就可以节省更多的钱,而不是花在教育上。参与发展项目的机构需要加大支持力度,改善农村人口的商业环境。这些决定包括改善交通和通信基础设施。同样重要的是,政府更多地参与支持农村地区经济活动的服务,如电力、水、推广服务和营销渠道。未来的研究必须考虑到农村家庭的非货币储蓄。
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Determinants of Rural Household Saving: The Case of North Shewa Zone, Amhara Regional State, Ethiopia
Long-term economic growth requires capital investment – in infrastructure, education and technology, business expansion, and so forth – and the main domestic source of funds for capital investment is saving by household. In developing countries, economic fluctuations and climate risk lead to important income variations and leave the households vulnerable to severe hardship and challenges. Moreover, their social coverage is restricted and the credit and insurance markets are not well developed and civilized. The study aims at investigating the determinants of households’ saving in north shewa zone of amhara region. Data of 150 respondents are drawn through field survey in 2017/18 by adopting multistage random sampling technique. Questions are asked directly from head of household about their education level, family size, age, amount of savings per year in birr, assets, income etc. Sample contains information about rural households. Ordinary Least Square method is used for estimation. Ordinary Least Square method analysis presents determinants of households’ saving in the zone. Based on the result it is concluded that, total dependency rate, total income of household and family size significantly raise household savings. Education of household head, sex, household landholdings, marital status, and livestock size of the households reduce saving level of households. This study also supports existence of Life cycle hypothesis. Based on the results, study suggests that Government should provide free education materials and scholarships to the students at school, college and university levels. So that household can save more rather than spending on their education. Institutions that are involved in development projects need to increase their support to improve the business environment of the rural populations. Such decisions include improvement in the Transport and communication infrastructure. Also of importance is increased involvement of the government in services that support economic activities in the rural areas such as, electricity, water, extension services and marketing channels. Future research must be conducted which takes into account nonmonetary saving of rural households.
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