中国70个城市新建住宅价格指数变动的网络分析

Xiaojie Xu, Yun Zhang
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引用次数: 10

摘要

目的对房价及其相互关系的理解无疑引起了各种市场参与者的极大关注。本研究旨在调查2011年1月至2020年12月10年期间中国70个城市的月度新建住宅价格指数,以了解其相互依存和同步的相关问题。这里的设计/方法/方法通过网络分析以及价格变动的拓扑和层次特征来促进分析。发现这项研究确定了房价指数直接相关的八个部门城市群,每个城市群内的价格同步性高于全国水平,尽管每个城市都表现出相当独特的模式。从2018年开始,全国和八个部门群体的房价联动程度普遍较低。同样,本研究发现,从2019年初开始,每个城市与房价指数相关的同步强度通常会切换到较低的水平。这里的原始性/价值结果应该有助于针对住房市场评估和监测的政策设计和分析。
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Network analysis of comovements among newly-built residential house price indices of seventy Chinese cities
Purpose Understandings of house prices and their interrelationships have undoubtedly drawn a great amount of attention from various market participants. This study aims to investigate the monthly newly-built residential house price indices of seventy Chinese cities during a 10-year period spanning January 2011–December 2020 for understandings of issues related to their interdependence and synchronizations. Design/methodology/approach Analysis here is facilitated through network analysis together with topological and hierarchical characterizations of price comovements. Findings This study determines eight sectoral groups of cities whose house price indices are directly connected and the price synchronization within each group is higher than that at the national level, although each shows rather idiosyncratic patterns. Degrees of house price comovements are generally lower starting from 2018 at the national level and for the eight sectoral groups. Similarly, this study finds that the synchronization intensity associated with the house price index of each city generally switches to a lower level starting from early 2019. Originality/value Results here should be of use to policy design and analysis aiming at housing market evaluations and monitoring.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
29.40%
发文量
68
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