交通基础设施投资对欧盟国家经济增长的影响

Mindaugas Butkus, A. Mačiulytė-Šniukienė, Kristina Matuzevičiūtė
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引用次数: 0

摘要

地域凝聚力和可达性的提高是欧盟凝聚力政策的主要目标之一。尽管关于交通基础设施投资对总体可达性水平的影响的文献很多,但只有少数研究试图评估欧盟交通基础设施投资(TII)与经济增长之间可能存在的联系。我们的研究旨在评估TII对欧盟经济增长的影响。该方法基于非线性新古典规范,其中包括一个乘法项,用于评估腐败的缺失是否介导了TII对增长的影响。我们的不平衡面板数据涵盖了从2000年到2019年的27个欧盟国家(由于缺少数据,塞浦路斯被排除在外,英国是样本的一部分)。我们的研究证实了TII对经济增长的积极和统计显著影响,但收益递减。估计腐败的缺失可能是TII对增长影响的调节因素,表明腐败控制在TII增长关系中起着重要作用。我们发现,在腐败控制水平较低的国家,TII对经济增长具有统计上显著的负面影响。
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Transport Infrastructure Investments as a Factor of Economic Growth of European Union Countries
Abstract Territorial cohesion and improved accessibility are among the main objectives of the European Union (EU) Cohesion policy. Although there is a wealth of literature on the impact of investment in transport infrastructure on overall accessibility levels, only a few studies have tried to evaluate the possible link between transport infrastructure investment (TII) and economic growth in the EU. Our research aims to evaluate the impact of TII on economic growth in the EU. The methodology is based on nonlinear neoclassical specification, which includes a multiplicative term to evaluate if the absence of corruption mediates the effect of TII on growth. Our unbalanced panel data covers 27 EU countries (Cyprus is excluded due to missing data and the United Kingdom is a part of the sample) from 2000 through 2019. Our research confirms a positive and statistically significant impact of TII on economic growth but with a diminishing return. Estimating the absence of corruption as a possible moderator of the effect that TII has on growth shows that control of corruption plays a significant role in the TII growth nexus. We find that in countries with a low level of control of corruption, TII has a statistically significant negative effect on growth.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
62.50%
发文量
8
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