负责任的财政政策和经济发展:新冠肺炎疫情后拉丁美洲面临的挑战

Marcia Solorza
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要新冠肺炎大流行表明,2007-2009年的深层次全球经济金融危机尚未得到克服。不稳定和不确定性在所有公共和私营领域都达到了极端水平,要求彻底改变经济结构,促进生产管理方法的创新,在国家的社会和体制组织中产生独创性,并加快新能源的出现,以前所未有的方式促进人与自然之间的关系。近年来和疫情期间,拉丁美洲经济体的失业率、就业不足和非正规就业率、公共债务和通货膨胀率都有所上升,而政府的实际收入却有所下降。这种情况伴随着持续的经营账户赤字、公共和私人债务谈判、高利率、汇率稳定或升值期、外国资本流动的波动和国家资本的外逃;所有这些都是基于财政纪律的主流政策的有利因素。在后疫情阶段,收入集中加速,食品和药品等基本必需品价格上涨,考虑到该地区各国的异质性,计划中的政府赤字可以避免又一个对社会经济发展产生乘数效应的失去的十年。
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Responsible Fiscal Policy and Economic Development: A Challenge for Latin America After COVID-19
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has made it evident that the deep global economic-financial crisis of 2007–2009 has not been overcome. Instability and uncertainty have reached extreme levels in all public and private spheres, demanding to revolutionize the economic structure, promote innovation in methods to manage production, generate originality in the social and institutional organization of the State and to accelerate the advent of new energy sources to promote in unprecedented ways the relationship between human beings and nature. In recent years and during the pandemic, in Latin American economies, unemployment, underemployment and informal employment, public debt, and inflation rates have increased, while the real income of governments fell. This situation is accompanied by persistent operating account deficits, public and private debt negotiations, high interest rates, periods of stability or appreciation in the exchange rate, volatility of foreign capital flows and flight of national capital; all being favorable elements for the mainstream policy based on fiscal discipline. In a post-pandemic stage, during which income concentration accelerates and the prices of basic necessities such as food and medicines increase, the planned government deficit, taking into account the heterogeneity among countries in the region, could avoid another lost decade with a multiplier effect on socio-economic development.
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CiteScore
2.00
自引率
8.30%
发文量
7
期刊最新文献
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