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IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Nber Macroeconomics Annual Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1086/723587
Oleg Itskhoki
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引用次数: 0

摘要

异质代理新凯恩斯主义(HANK)框架已经成为分析封闭经济中货币政策传导,尤其是财政政策传导的主要框架。汉克对经常账户赤字的规模和构成等开放经济维度有什么影响?特别是,应对COVID-19大流行的大规模财政政策对资本流动、经常账户失衡和汇率调整的开放经济影响是什么?当前的论文通过采用作者早期工作中开发的开放经济汉克模型的一个版本来解决这些问题,该模型在财富和边际消费倾向、名义工资刚性和消费中的家乡偏见方面具有家庭异质性,导致均衡实际汇率动态。然后,本文提出了HANK框架对应对大流行冲击的经常账户调整的影响,以及适应这种影响的财政政策。在我的讨论中,我转而询问经常账户和汇率调整的模式是如何应对这些数据冲击的,以及解释它们所需的可能的一阶理论机制是什么。hank模型对各国总储蓄对不同财政转移冲击的宏观经济反应提供了敏锐直观的预测,如本文结论图14所示。较大的地方财政转移通过高边际消费倾向主体转化为地方消费支出的增加
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The heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) framework has become a leading framework for the analysis of both monetary and, especially,fiscal policy transmission in a closed economy.What are the implications of HANK for open economy dimensions such as the magnitude and the composition of current account deficits? In particular, what were the open economy implications—for capital flows, current account imbalances, and exchange rate adjustment—of the massive fiscal policy response to the COVID-19 pandemic? The current paper addresses these questions by adopting a version of an open economyHANKmodel developed in the earlier work of the authors, which features household heterogeneity in terms of wealth and marginal propensity to consume, nominal wage rigidities, and home bias in consumption that leads to equilibrium real exchange rate dynamics. The paper then asks what the implications are of a HANK framework for current account adjustment in response to a pandemic shock and the fiscal policy that accommodated it. In my discussion, I instead ask what the patterns of current account and exchange rate adjustment are in response to these shocks in the data, and what the likely first-order theoretical mechanisms needed to explain them are. The HANKmodel provides sharp intuitive predictions for the macroeconomic response of aggregate savings to a differential fiscal transfer shock across countries, as summarized in the concluding figure 14 in the paper. A larger local fiscal transfer turns into increased local consumption expenditure by high marginal propensity to consume agents, spread over
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
23
期刊介绍: The Nber Macroeconomics Annual provides a forum for important debates in contemporary macroeconomics and major developments in the theory of macroeconomic analysis and policy that include leading economists from a variety of fields.
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