模糊定量风险分配模型(FQRAM)用于指导加纳公私合作(PPP)电力项目风险分配决策

A. S. Kukah, D. Owusu-Manu, E. Badu, D. J. Edwards, E. Asamoah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的公私合作(PPP)电力项目与不同的风险因素有关。本文旨在建立一个模糊定量风险分配模型(QRAM)来指导加纳PPP电力项目的风险分配决策。设计/方法/方法从文献中建立了67个风险因素和9个风险分配标准,并在两轮德尔菲调查中使用问卷进行了排名。采用模糊综合评判方法建立了风险分配模型。发现该模型的输出变量是公共机构和私人机构之间基于其管理风险因素的能力的风险分配比例。在37个关键风险因素中,公共部门被分配了12个风险因素,比例=50%,而私营部门被分配为25个风险因素(比例=50%)。原创性/价值据作者所知,本研究首次在加纳尝试为PPP电力项目开发QRAM。该模型有信心有效分配PPP电力项目产生的风险。
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Fuzzy quantitative risk allocation model (FQRAM) to guide decision-making on risk allocation in Ghanaian public-private partnership (PPP) power projects
Purpose Public-private partnership (PPP) power projects are associated with varying risk factors. This paper aims to develop a fuzzy quantitative risk allocation model (QRAM) to guide decision-making on risk allocation in PPP power projects in Ghana. Design/methodology/approach A total of 67 risk factors and 9 risk allocation criteria were established from literature and ranked in a two-round Delphi survey using questionnaires. The fuzzy synthetic evaluation method was used in developing the risk allocation model. Findings The model’s output variable is the risk allocation proportions between the public body and private body based on their capability to manage the risk factors. Out of the 37 critical risk factors, the public sector was allocated 12 risk factors with proportions = 50%, while the private sector was allocated 25 risk factors with proportions = 50%. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this research presents the first attempt in Ghana at endeavouring to develop a QRAM for PPP power projects. There is confidence in the model to efficiently allocate risks emanating from PPP power projects.
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CiteScore
3.70
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0.00%
发文量
17
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